Assessment of Risk Management at the Design Stage of Construction Projects in Afghanistan

§ Kabul Polytechnic University

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Assessment of Risk Management at the Design Stage of Construction Projects in Afghanistan

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Background

Abstract

In this study, as identified above, the identification of the critical factors afterwards how the management and prevention of possible risks in the design phase of the construction project are investigated, rather than the problems and shortcomings encountered in this phase of the project. Successful completion of this research will help us identify hazardous items in the design phase of construction projects, and what steps should be taken to eliminate or minimize these risks.

I. INTRODUCTION

The importance of this issue is heightened when the Afghan government has prepared long-term plans for the development of approximately one million affordable housing units with appropriate living standards. Due to the findings of the Ministry of Urban Development and Independent Bureau of Local Authorities, Kabul Municipality and UN Habitat Research, Afghanistan's urban population has been increasing from 20 % to 24 % due to urban migration in the past two years. In the absence of housing, about 1.5 million have been observed over the years. Kabulas the largest center of internal migration represents 10 % annual growth over the past decade, also, sources indicate that 78 % of citizens seeking housing are in critical condition, according to the above report, housing problems are one of the most serious social issues in Afghanistan, especially in Kabul. So it is imperative that you pay close attention to this issue and develop comprehensive plans for addressing and resolving this issue and manage it properly. In Afghanistan, risk management will be one of the steps that will help to make these programs a reality. Given the importance of this issue, it requires a comprehensive research to identify the sources of risk and how to manage it realistically, the questions of this research are divided into two types of open and closed questions. These two types of questions are considered as questionnaire and interview form. The questions addressed in the questionnaires are quantitative and closed-ended questions that were scored by the participants. Points are given, that is, by choosing 1 of 5 options, From 1 to 5, respectively, from 5 to 1 enormous.

a) Research Goals in Brief

Identifying the sources of risk

Get comprehensive solutions

Prevent similar occurrences in future projects

Accelerate the design phase of future construction projects

b) When is Risk Analysis needed?

Risk assessment is useful in many situations.

For example:

  1. When planning a project, to help predict and neutralize potential problems.

  2. When you are deciding to go with a project.

  3. When you plan to increase the level of safety and potential risk management in your workplace.

  4. Be prepared for events such as equipment and technology failure, theft, employee illness, or natural disasters.

c) How to use Risk Analysis?

To apply the risk analysis, follow these steps:

1. Identify threats
  • 1:1 the first stage of risk analysis is to identify existing and occurring risks. Risks that may be encountered.
  • 1:2 Prepare a list briefly to check that there is a threat or not?
  • 1:3 what are some issues that may harm you?
  • 1:4 Ask people who have different views
2. Risk Assessment
  • 2:1 once you have identified the threats, it is necessary to calculate the probability of the two cases: Threats and their impact. One solution is this: Find the accurate estimate of the probability of occurrence of event, and then multiply this value to the expense of occurrence of the event and doing it right, this will give you a risk value.
  • 2.2 Value of risk = probability of occurrence x cost of occurrence.

As a simple example: Imagine you have identified the risk that rent accommodation to substantially increase: You think that there is 80 % chance of this happening next year, because your landlord has recently increased rentals for other businesses. If this happens, next year your business will cost extra $ 500,000.

So the value of the risk of increased rent equals: 0.8 (probability of occurrence) × 500000 (fee happen) = 400000 (Risk value).

3. How to manage risk

3:1 once you have identified the value of the risk you are facing; you can look for a way to manage it. (Mehta Arjmand, 1396).

4. Divide the risk

4:1 You can also divide the risk with people, Groups, Organizations or other third parties as a result of the possible risks.

For example: When you cover your office building or company property list with insurance of the third party, or when you partner with another organization at the beginning of product development, you have shared the risk with them (Mehta arjmand, 1396).

5. Accept risk

5:1 Your last choice is risk acceptance. This is usually the best option for situations where risk cannot be avoided or mitigated, When the potential risk loss is less than the cost of insurance to prevent risk, or when the potential benefit is at the risk of accepting the risk.

6. Risk control

6:1 if you have chosen a risk-taking solution, there are ways to reduce the impact. Past experiences are

effective ways to reduce risk. Experienced managers do risky things in smaller and more manageable dimensions. You can use the results of previous tests to identify the location of the risk and take preventive action before performing large-scale work.

Research Methods: We are trying to clarify the facts and find ways to bring us closer to the goal. The research method of this article is divided into two sections.

1. Questionnaire
2. Interview

The two sections are divided into 5 departments and projects with 60 expert participants. Participants in the two sections of the questionnaire and interview presented their opinions separately. The data were analyzed using SPSS software. Choosing this app to get right and accurate statistics and numbers is intended to make the results work and useful.

  1. Questionnaire: The questions raised in the questionnaires are as follows. a. Which of the following is the main cause of the crisis (risk) in the design phase of construction projects?

Table 1

No.ValueVery lowLowMediumMuchVery much
Number12345
1Lack of unit management in the project
2lack of coordination of the project team
3Lack of cooperation from related departments or presidency
4Lack of work ethics (managerial)
5Internal competition (Negative competition)
6Lack of transformation management (inability to lead new ways in the project)
7Appointing non-technical people in charge
8The planning team imbalance in knowledge
9Management weaknesses in not recognizing project strengths and weaknesses
10Appointment of people with low knowledge level
11Change and renewal of plan
12Lack of planning and communication in the project
13Lack of office facilities to carry out project work
14Sophisticated design and detail (Details) inadequate about it
15Delay in drawing and issuing drawings
16Lack of risk management in projects
17Conflict in project priorities
18Poorly organized office project
19Involvement in many projects at the same time
20Vandalism, disruption and unforeseen side effects
21Lack of attention to cultural issues and social norms in building design
22Inadequate design and plan information for accurate estimation and planning
23The lack of a specific timeline for the regular development of design
24Poor control of the design flow and its development
  1. Which of the following is the most critical factor in the risk-taking phase of project design?

Table 2

No.ValueVery lowLowMediumMuch
Number12345
1Waste of time
2Monetary inflation
3The rising prices of materials (market risk)
4Exchange rate fluctuations
5Delays in project
6Canceled project
7Poor management's perception of the country and lack of confidence from donors in the future
8Failure by donors to read interior design processes
9The emergence of the deteriorating security situation
10Political changes
  1. Interview: The questions in the interview section are as follows: a. What causes the design process in construction projects to be compromised? b. What suggestions do you propose to prevent or minimize the crisis during the design phase of construction projects? c. How can the crisis in the design phase of construction projects be managed?

Table 3

Lack of unit management in the project Lack of unit management in the project
FrequencyPercentValid PercentCumulative Percent
ValidLow14.34.34.3
Medium313.013.017.4
Much834.834.852.2
Very much1147.847.8100.0
Total23100.0100.0

The main research issues are as follows:

What causes the design process in construction projects to be compromised? These two divisions are made up of a total of 60 special partners.

This analysis was performed using Statistical Package for Social Science (SPSS) software. Variable statistics using SPSS software are distributed in the following table and chart.

  1. Lack of Unit Management in Projects
  2. The lack of coordination of the project team

Table 4

The lack of coordination of the project team
FrequencvPercentValid PercentCumulative Percent
ValidVery low14.34.34.3
Low417.417.421.7
Medium313.013.034.8
Much730.430.465.2
Very much834.834.8100.0
Total23100.0100.0

Table 5

Lack of Work Ethics (Managerial)
FrequencyPercentValid PercentCumulative Percent
ValidVery low28.78.78.7
Low730.430.439.1
Medium834.834.873.9
Much417.417.491.3
Very much28.78.7100.0
Total23100.0100.0

Table 6

Internal Competition (Competition Negative)
FrequencvPercentValid PercentCumulative Percent
ValidVery low28.78.78.7
Low521.721.730.4
Medium313.013.043.5
Much730.430.473.9
Very much626.126.1100.0
Total23100.0100.0

It is also considered for each factor of the table, which totals 24 tables, then check the validity of the questionnaire was using Cronbach's alpha coefficient.

α = K K 1 ( 1 i k σ 2 σ 2 )

In this formula (k) the number of questions, and ( σ 2 ) is the variance of each question. The Cronbach's alpha coefficient is used to measure the one-dimensionality of attitudes, judgments, and other items that are not easy to measure.

Internal ReliabilityCronbach's alpha coefficient
Excellentα≥0.9
Good0.9>α≥0.8
acceptable0.8>α≥0.7
Questioned0.7>α≥0.6
Poor0.6>α≥0.5
unacceptable0.5>α
Case Processing Summary
N%
CasesValid23100.0
Excludeda0.0
Total23100.0
a. List wise deletion based on all variables in the procedure.
Scale Mean if Item DeletedScale Variance if Item DeletedCorrected Item-Total CorrelationCronbach's Alpha if Item Deleted
Lack of unit management in the project81.00223.545.042.904
The lack of coordination of the project team81.52201.625.625.893
Lack of cooperation from related departments or projects82.09198.901.745.890
Lack of work ethics (managerial)82.39204.613.622.893
Internal competition (competition Negative)81.83198.877.652.892
Lack of transformation management (inability to lead new ways in the project)81.09204.174.654.893
Appointing non-technical people in charge81.04212.771.422.898
The scheme imbalance in knowledge81.96210.316.432.898
Management weaknesses in not recognizing project strengths and weaknesses81.26201.929.692.892
Appointment of people with low knowledge level81.65206.874.537.895
Change and renewal of plan82.04199.862.589.894
Lack of planning and communication in the project81.39210.794.515.896
Lack of office facilities to carry out project work82.13211.846.385.899
Sophisticated design and detail (Details) inadequate about it81.78207.178.573.895
Delay in drawing and issuing drawings81.57216.075.276.901
Lack of risk management in projects81.83214.787.241.903
Conflict in project priorities81.83203.332.678.892
Poorly organized office project81.61204.704.495.896
Involvement in many projects at the same time82.52210.715.316.901
Vandalism, disruption and unforeseen side effects81.74208.747.545.895
Lack of attention to cultural issues and social norms in building design82.13206.573.478.897
Inadequate design and plan information for accurate estimation and planning81.70200.676.661.892
The lack of a specific timeline for the regular development of design81.35213.964.339.899
Poor control of the design flow and its development81.57216.530.367.899

II. CONCLUSION

Considering the statistics of the risk among the 24 risk identified by the researcher in the design phase of construction projects and distributed to questionnaires specialists in related fields, there are 6 types of high risk that are listed below:

  • Lack of unit management in the project
  • Lack of transformation management (inability to lead new talents in the project)
  • Appointing non-technical people at the helm
  • Management weaknesses in not recognizing project strengths and weaknesses
  • Office of thick organization
  • Organizing team's lack of coordination

Important Factors from the Interview:

  • Lack of unified management and planning
  • Lack of assessment of possible risks
  • Lack of detailed study of lands and topography of the area
  • Failure to examine religious, cultural and climatic conditions of the country
  • Lack of economic planning in projects

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Funding

No external funding was declared for this work.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Ethical Approval

No ethics committee approval was required for this article type.

Data Availability

Not applicable for this article.

How to Cite This Article

Mohammad Alem Wardak, Engineer Madiha Salangyar, .. 2026. "Assessment of Risk Management at the Design Stage of Construction Projects in Afghanistan". Global Journal of Research in Engineering - E: Civil & Structural GJRE-E Volume 23 (GJRE Volume 23 Issue E1).

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Alt text: Academic research paper on risk management in Afghan construction projects, author and journal details included.
Journal Specifications

Crossref Journal DOI 10.17406/gjre

Print ISSN 0975-5861

e-ISSN 2249-4596

Keywords
Classification
GJRE-E Classification FOR Code: 090599
Version of record

v1.2

Issue date
March 24, 2023

Language
English
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Assessment of Risk Management at the Design Stage of Construction Projects in Afghanistan

Mohammad Wardak
Mohammad Wardak Kabul Polytechnic University
Engineer Salangyar
Engineer Salangyar
.
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