A Dynamic Level Technical Indicator Model for Oil Price Forecasting

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David Ademola Oyemade
David Ademola Oyemade
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David Enebeli
David Enebeli

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A Dynamic Level Technical Indicator Model for Oil Price Forecasting

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Abstract

Investment in commodities and stock requires a nearly accurate prediction of price to make profit and to prevent losses. Technical indicators are usually employed on the software platforms for commodities and stock for such price prediction and forecasting. However, many of the available and popular technical indicators have proved unprofitable and disappointing to investors, often resulting not only in ordinary losses but in total loss of investment capital. We propose a dynamic level technical indicator model for the forecasting of commodities’ prices. The proposed model creates dynamic price supports and resistances levels in different time frames of the price chart using a novel algorithm and employs them for price forecasting. In this study, the proposed model was applied to predict the prices of the United Kingdom (UK) Oil. It was compared with the combination of two popular and widely accepted technical indicators, the Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD) and Stochastic Oscillator. The results showed that the proposed dynamic level technical indicator model outperformed MACD and Stochastic Oscillator in terms of profit.

References

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Funding

No external funding was declared for this work.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Ethical Approval

No ethics committee approval was required for this article type.

Data Availability

Not applicable for this article.

How to Cite This Article

David Ademola Oyemade. 2021. \u201cA Dynamic Level Technical Indicator Model for Oil Price Forecasting\u201d. Global Journal of Computer Science and Technology - G: Interdisciplinary GJCST-G Volume 21 (GJCST Volume 21 Issue G1): .

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Journal Specifications

Crossref Journal DOI 10.17406/gjcst

Print ISSN 0975-4350

e-ISSN 0975-4172

Keywords
Classification
GJCST-G Classification: I.2.8
Version of record

v1.2

Issue date

May 19, 2021

Language
en
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Published Article

Investment in commodities and stock requires a nearly accurate prediction of price to make profit and to prevent losses. Technical indicators are usually employed on the software platforms for commodities and stock for such price prediction and forecasting. However, many of the available and popular technical indicators have proved unprofitable and disappointing to investors, often resulting not only in ordinary losses but in total loss of investment capital. We propose a dynamic level technical indicator model for the forecasting of commodities’ prices. The proposed model creates dynamic price supports and resistances levels in different time frames of the price chart using a novel algorithm and employs them for price forecasting. In this study, the proposed model was applied to predict the prices of the United Kingdom (UK) Oil. It was compared with the combination of two popular and widely accepted technical indicators, the Moving Average Convergence and Divergence (MACD) and Stochastic Oscillator. The results showed that the proposed dynamic level technical indicator model outperformed MACD and Stochastic Oscillator in terms of profit.

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A Dynamic Level Technical Indicator Model for Oil Price Forecasting

David Ademola Oyemade
David Ademola Oyemade
David Enebeli
David Enebeli

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