Neural Networks and Rules-based Systems used to Find Rational and Scientific Correlations between being Here and Now with Afterlife Conditions
Neural Networks and Rules-based Systems used to Find Rational and
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This paper is an empirical investigation on the directional causality between oil price (oil imports cost), gross domestic product (GDP) and Inflation (consumer price index) for the period 1990-2011 in Jordan. Using Johannes-Juseliusco-integration test, Granger-causality test, and VECM to inspect the long-term relationship, the short-term relationship and the speed of adjustment toward long-term equilibrium between the variables. The tests’ results indicate that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between gross domestic product these results indicate that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between gross domestic product (LGDP) and other variables oil cost (LOP) and inflation (LINF). The estimation of the adjustment speed indicates that (58%) of any previous year’s deviation in gross domestic product (GDP) from its long-run equilibrium path will be corrected in the current year. Furthermore, the VECM reveals the existence of a significant, negative and weak (-0.046) causation relationship in the short run between (GDP) and oil cost (OP) running from oil cost to (GDP).
Hussein Ali Al-Zeaud. 2014. \u201cAn Investigation of Granger Causality between Oil-Price, Inflation and Economic Growth in Jordan\u201d. Global Journal of Management and Business Research - B: Economic & Commerce GJMBR-B Volume 14 (GJMBR Volume 14 Issue B6): .
Crossref Journal DOI 10.17406/GJMBR
Print ISSN 0975-5853
e-ISSN 2249-4588
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Total Score: 101
Country: Jordan
Subject: Global Journal of Management and Business Research - B: Economic & Commerce
Authors: Hussein Ali Al-Zeaud (PhD/Dr. count: 0)
View Count (all-time): 181
Total Views (Real + Logic): 4585
Total Downloads (simulated): 2338
Publish Date: 2014 10, Mon
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This paper is an empirical investigation on the directional causality between oil price (oil imports cost), gross domestic product (GDP) and Inflation (consumer price index) for the period 1990-2011 in Jordan. Using Johannes-Juseliusco-integration test, Granger-causality test, and VECM to inspect the long-term relationship, the short-term relationship and the speed of adjustment toward long-term equilibrium between the variables. The tests’ results indicate that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between gross domestic product these results indicate that there is a long-run equilibrium relationship between gross domestic product (LGDP) and other variables oil cost (LOP) and inflation (LINF). The estimation of the adjustment speed indicates that (58%) of any previous year’s deviation in gross domestic product (GDP) from its long-run equilibrium path will be corrected in the current year. Furthermore, the VECM reveals the existence of a significant, negative and weak (-0.046) causation relationship in the short run between (GDP) and oil cost (OP) running from oil cost to (GDP).
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