Loading menu…

Dynamic Money Doctors under Cumulative Prospect Theory

§ College of Mathematics, Physics and Information Engi...

Send Message

To: Author

Dynamic Money Doctors under Cumulative Prospect Theory

Article Fingerprint

ReserarchID

C: FINANCEG7INP

Dynamic Money Doctors under Cumulative Prospect Theory Banner

Key Research Insights

Synthesized scholarly intelligence & interactive research assistant
  • English
  • Afrikaans
  • Albanian
  • Amharic
  • Arabic
  • Armenian
  • Azerbaijani
  • Basque
  • Belarusian
  • Bengali
  • Bosnian
  • Bulgarian
  • Catalan
  • Cebuano
  • Chichewa
  • Chinese (Simplified)
  • Chinese (Traditional)
  • Corsican
  • Croatian
  • Czech
  • Danish
  • Dutch
  • Esperanto
  • Estonian
  • Filipino
  • Finnish
  • French
  • Frisian
  • Galician
  • Georgian
  • German
  • Greek
  • Gujarati
  • Haitian Creole
  • Hausa
  • Hawaiian
  • Hebrew
  • Hindi
  • Hmong
  • Hungarian
  • Icelandic
  • Igbo
  • Indonesian
  • Irish
  • Italian
  • Japanese
  • Javanese
  • Kannada
  • Kazakh
  • Khmer
  • Korean
  • Kurdish (Kurmanji)
  • Kyrgyz
  • Lao
  • Latin
  • Latvian
  • Lithuanian
  • Luxembourgish
  • Macedonian
  • Malagasy
  • Malay
  • Malayalam
  • Maltese
  • Maori
  • Marathi
  • Mongolian
  • Myanmar (Burmese)
  • Nepali
  • Norwegian
  • Pashto
  • Persian
  • Polish
  • Portuguese
  • Punjabi
  • Romanian
  • Russian
  • Samoan
  • Scots Gaelic
  • Serbian
  • Sesotho
  • Shona
  • Sindhi
  • Sinhala
  • Slovak
  • Slovenian
  • Somali
  • Spanish
  • Sundanese
  • Swahili
  • Swedish
  • Tajik
  • Tamil
  • Telugu
  • Thai
  • Turkish
  • Ukrainian
  • Urdu
  • Uzbek
  • Vietnamese
  • Welsh
  • Xhosa
  • Yiddish
  • Yoruba
  • Zulu
Reading Preferences
Font Size
Line Spacing
Background

I. INTRODUCTION

Evidence indicates that investors feel overly anxious or nervous when they invest in risky assets without assistance because investors have little financial knowledge and related information. Hence, they are willing to hire money managers or advisors to help them invest. Managers may have indispensable knowledge concerning how to diversify investments or even how to earn a premium. Additionally, money managers provide investors with peace of mind.

Many researchers are interested in similar problems. In this section, we cite the essential literature on incentives for money managers. Chevalier and Ellison, using semiparametric modeling, report that the shape of the flow-performance relationship creates incentives for fund managers to raise or reduce the riskiness of a fund and that these incentives depend on the fund's year-to-date return (see Judith and Ellison, 1997). By examining the labor market for mutual fund managers, they find that "termination" is more performance-sensitive for younger managers (see Judith and Ellison, 1999). They also identify possible implicit incentives created by the termination-performance relationship. The shape of the termination-performance relationship may give younger managers an incentive to avoid unsystematic risk. Inderst and Ottaviani focus on distorted incentives to sell financial products, distortions that arise not only from actual kickbacks but also from the difficulty of incentivizing salesmen to sell the appropriate products (see Roman and Ottaviani, 2009, 2012a,b). Guerrieri and Kondor demonstrate that performance generates a "reputational premium" that influences investors' decisions to hire or fire money managers (Veronica and Kondor, 2012). Hackethal, Inderst, and Meyer find that retail investors who report a heavy reliance on their advisors' recommendations have a substantially higher trading volume and purchase a higher fraction of investment products that their advisors were incentivized to sell (promoted products)-see Hackethal et al.

2012. Gennaioli, Shleifer and Vishny focus on the incentives of the money management organization itself when its clients' choices are mediated by trust (see Gennaioli et al., 2015).

These researches rely on Expected utility theory (EUT)(see Neumann and Morgenstern, 1944). However, substantial experimental and empirical evidence reveals that EUT is incompatible with human observed behavior in reality. Demonstrated violations of EUT are as follows.

  1. EUT makes the underlying assumption that decision-makers are rational and uniformly risk averse. But, empirical evidence shows that investors' risk attitude often changes.

Specially, Kahneman and Tversky did a experiment to observe changes of personal risk attitude. The first choice is between a sure gain of 240anda251,000. The second choice is between a sure loss of 750anda751,000. For the first choice, 84% of respondents chose a sure gain of 240,whichisconsistentwithriskaversion.Forsecondchoice,871,000, which is consistent with risk seeking. This experiment indicates that people exhibit risk aversion in gains and exhibit risk seeking in losses.

  1. EUT generally uses the level of wealth, not changes in wealth. However, in the previous experiment, we find that personal risk attitude changes in the domains of gains and losses. So, we can show that gains and losses seem to be what people care about, rather than the level of wealth.

To prove our point of view, we consider the following problem. Decision 1: Assume yourself richer by 300thanyouaretoday.Then,choosebetweenasuregainof100 and a 50% chance to gain 200; Decision 2: Assume yourself richer by 500thanyouaretoday.Thenchoosebetweenasurelossof100 and a 50% chance to lose 200.Inbothcases,thedecisionisbetween400 with certainty and a prospect with a 50% chance of 500anda300. Yet, 72% of respondents chose a sure gain of 100inDecision1and64200 Decision 2. The choice of many indicates risk aversion for Decision 1, but risk seeking for Decision 2. This problem shows that risk attitude is not same across gains and losses, implying that it is the change in wealth, rather than the level, that matters to people. People evaluate an outcome based on the gain and loss from a reference point, usually taken to be current wealth. Notice that in this problem the two decisions assume different starting wealth positions.EUT cannot incorporate the reference point.

  1. Researchers also notice that persons seem to feel a loss more strongly than a gain of equivalent absolute value. But, EUT doesn't involve this.

To more clearly explain our point of view, we consider the following problem. What value of x would make you indifferent between a sure gain of 0 and the prospect which is a 50% chance to gain x and a 50% chance to lose 25?Theaverageofresponseinthisexperimentwas61. That is, for a fair gamble, when the loss is 25,thetypicalpersonrequiresagainof61 to be indifferent between accepting or rejective the gamble. It is quite clear that people are quite averse to a loss. Loss aversion is the term that describes the observation that, for most people, losses loom larger than gain.

  1. EUT cannot explain why a person might buy a lottery ticket and insurance. In fact, overweighting of small probabilities and subjective probabilities lead to this behavior.

For example, choose between a 0.1% chance to gain 5,000andasuregainof5. Even though the expected value of the two case are equal (5)aswealmostcertainlyhaveobserve,manypeopleprefertheformertothelatter,consistentwithriskseeking,Suchachoiceisindicativeofriskseekinginthedomainofgains.Earlierweobservedanotherinstanceofriskseeking,butthisiswasindomainoflosses.Itseemsthatriskseekingcanalsooccurinthedomainofgainsaswell.Now,weconsideranotherchoice.Choosebetweena0.15,000 and a sure loss of $5. In this case many people choose the latter, consistent with risk aversion. But this implies risk aversion in the negative domain. In sum, while we normally have risk aversion in the positive domain, when there is a quite low probability of a payoff this generally shifts to risk seeking. On the other hand, while we normally have risk seeking in the negative domain, when there is a quite low probability of a loss this generally shifts to risk aversion. This is what Kahneman and Tversky characterized as the fourfold pattern of risk attitudes. This pattern suggests risk aversion for gains and risk seeking for losses when the outcome probability is high, and risk seeking for gains and risk aversion for losses when the outcome probability is low. In onw study, they found that 92%(22 out of 25) of subjects displayed the full patters.

To explain the above violations of EUT and more accurately characterize personal behaviors, Kahneman and Tversky propose prospect theory (PT) and cumulative prospect theory (CPT)-see Kahneman and Tversky, 1992a and 1992b.

When we research the interaction between investors and managers, we find investors' behavior also deviates from the predictions of EUT. So, in this article, we apply CPT-investors rather than risk averse investors in the traditional sense. That is, we adopt a cumulative prospect theory (CPT) approach to the investor's preferences. In a original way, we model the investor's trust in the manager and associated anxiety from investing in a risky asset to determine a CPT investor's optimal portfolio and a manager's optimal fees.

The novelty of our contribution relative to Gennaioli et al.(2015) and other works using classical preferences is that we rely on cumulative prospect theory rather than the classical mean-variance framework. Gennaioli, Shleifer and Vishny (2015) assume that all investors are rational. Hence, they develop a model relying on the mean-variance framework, which is certainly the most well-known investment decision rule. However, all of our investors are CPT investors, namely, these investors' behavior coincides with cumulative prospect theory. Specifically, we employ a value function for CPT investors, while Gennaioli, Shleifer and Vishny (2015) use a classical utility function. In the value function of our CPT investors, we consider the gain relative to a reference wealth level, i.e., the benchmark wealth. However, Gennaioli et al. (2015) use absolute wealth in the investors' utility function. Moreover, to accurately characterize a CPT investor's psychology, we combine probability distortions with the value functions to measure the CPT investors' satisfaction, while Gennaioli, Shleifer and Vishny (2015) use only a simple probability and the investors' utility functions to measure investor satisfaction. In other words, Gennaioli et al.(2015) only employ the expected utility functions to measure investor satisfaction. The value function and probability distortions are the key contributions of cumulative prospect theory and allow our CPT model to outperform traditional theory in real financial markets.

Another innovation is that we focus on the dynamic portfolio selection but not the static portfolio choices. Gennaioli et al. only discuss the managers' optimal fees when the investors invest in the risky asset in a single period. However, we explore the managers' optimal fees and the investor's portfolio selection under multi-period setting. Moreover, based on the subgame perfect investment strategies, we obtain the CPT investor's optimal portfolio in multi-period.

In their analysis of multiple financial products, Gennaioli et al. (2015) only consider two risky assets, while we study two or more such assets. Moreover, their research relies on the assumption that the two risky assets are uncorrelated, an assumption that we need not make.

There are two main differences between our results and those based on classical preferences. First, in our results, the optimal fees are not symmetric. In particular, the dominant managers obtain a higher fee than do subordinate managers regardless of the changes in risk of risky assets (a risky asset) and the changes in the dispersion of trust in the population. Another difference is that, in our work, these fees are not proportional to expected returns. Moreover, the optimal fees decline nonlinearly as risk of risky assets (a risky asset) decreases and the dispersion of trust in the population decreases.

Except for our application of CPT in money doctor, CPT is applied extensively in the contexts of optimal investment strategy and optimal insurance contracts.

Regarding optimal investment strategy, in a continuous-time setting, Jin and Zhou (2008) formulate a general behavioral portfolio selection model using Kahneman and Tversky's CPT. In a discrete-time setting, Bernard and Ghossoub (2009) consider how a CPT investor chooses his/her optimal portfolio in a single-period model with one risky and one riskless asset. In the same vein, He and Zhou (2011a,b) address and formulate the general well-posedness issue and investigate the case in which the reference point is not the risk-free return. Pirvu and Schulze (2012) extend this work to a multi-asset context. To the best of our knowledge, Shi et al. (2014) are the first to consider the CPT allocation problem in a multi-period framework. Deng and Pirvu investigate optimal portfolio selection with one risk-free asset and one risky asset in a multi-period setting under CPT (see Deng and Pirvu, 2015). Compared with Shi et al's study, their novelty is that the optimal strategies are time inconsistent due to the time-changing benchmark.

Regarding optimal insurance contracts, there are fewer results (and those that exist are less sophisticated) than in the context of optimal portfolio choice. From the insured's perspective, Dhiab investigates the demand for insurance under CPT (see Dhiab, 2015). From the insurer's perspective, Bernard et al. explore the optimal insurance policy for an insurer with a linear cost function (see Bernard et al., 2015). Based on Bernard et al.'s work, Deng identifies the optimal insurance policy for the more general insurer cost functions, addressing both linear and nonlinear cost functions (see Deng, 2015).

Although CPT is more practical than traditional models, it is not more widely used than traditional theory. As noted above, CPT is applied primarily to address problems related to optimal investment strategy and optimal insurance contracts. To the best of our knowledge, for many other other problems related to CPT, in particular the optimal fees that managers charge under CPT, there are no existing studies. This lack of research is certainly not because this problem is unimportant or uninteresting; rather, we believe, this lack of research is because addressing such problems using CPT is considerably more complicated than doing so using the traditional decision optimization.

In extant CPT research, researchers only consider the value function of a CPT investor who invests in a risky asset without assistance. Moreover, they focus solely on the optimal portfolio for the investor. However, we are interested in investors' interaction with portfolio managers and thus develop a value function for a CPT investor investing in risky assets with the assistance of a portfolio manager, not on his own. Our models accurately characterize and reflect the reduced anxiety experienced by CPT investors when bearing risk with the assistance of a trusted portfolio manager. Moreover, we determine not only the investor's optimal portfolio but also the money managers' optimal fees. However, our original models pose an enormous computational challenge, as the traditional method is not suitable for our new problem. To overcome these computational difficulties, we use rigorous derivation to obtain the implicit solutions. Then, we employ an effective software tool and obtain approximately explicit solutions.

The remainder of this paper is organized as follows. In Section 2, we discuss a basic setting. In section 3, we attain the CPT investor's optimal portfolio in multi-period under CPT. In section 4, we investigate managers' total profits. In section 5, we determine the optimal fees charged by money managers. Section 6 contains the numerical analysis. In Section 7, we compare our results with those of Gennaioli et al. and explain our results from an economic perspective. The paper concludes with an Appendix containing the proofs.

II. THE BASIC SETUP

In this paper, we analyze the dynamic optimal strategies. We consider a financial market in which the CPT-investor can invest in one risk-free asset and one risky asset. The investing horizon is [0,T], where T is a finite deterministic constant. The time of investment t takes on discrete values (t=0,1,…,T−1). Moreover rt denotes the return of the risk-free asset from the time t to the time t+1, and xt denotes the return of the risky asset from the time t to the time t+1. We assume that a CPT-investor i has wealth Wi,t at the time t and invest the amount vi,t in the risky asset and all of remaining wealth Wi,t−vi,t in the risk-free asset. The investor's wealth Wi,t+1 at time t+1 is given by the equation

Wi,t+1=(1+rt)(Wi,t−vi,t)+(1+xt)vi,t=(1+rt)Wi,t+ytvi,t.

Here yt=xt−rt is a random variable and represents the excess return on the risky asset over the risk-free asset from the time t to the time t+1. The excess return {yt}{t=0,1,…,T−1} is an adapted stochastic process defined over the probability space (Ω,Ft,F,P). The information set at the beginning of period t is denoted as Ft=σ(y0,y1,…,yt−1). Besides, assume the variance of the excess return is σ2 and the expected value of the excess return is μ.

A CPT-invest doesn't feel anxious when he invests in the risk-free asset. However, the CPT-investor feels anxious and nervous when he invests in the risky asset. The reason is that the CPT-invest should not only have professional knowledge and relevant information but also spend much time and energy on the analysis of portfolio in order to attain a satisfied return of the risky asset. But it is very difficult for an average CPT-investor to do these. Thus, the CPT-investor is willing to invest in the risky asset on a trusted and experienced wealth manager rather than on his own. In a pure mathematical sense, this assumption is not very strict, but it clearly presents the foundation and background of our research and makes the practical meanings of our result more explicit. As the viewpoint of Gennaioli, Shieifer and Vishny, a money manager plays a similar role in the financial market to a doctor. In particular, almost of investors do not know how to invest expect for the investment in a risk-free asset, so they want to seek some financial advice from a trusted and experienced manager. It is like that almost of patients have little idea of how to be treated but some simple and safe treatments, thus they prefer to seek some medical advice from an expert and trusted doctor. The present article discusses the similar problem that CPT-investors invest in a risk asset on a trusted money manager but not on their own. Actually, the relationship between the CPT-investors and the money managers in our research is also like the relationship between the patients and the doctors.

Each of the manager who the CPT-investor i can choose is denoted by j. In general, j=1,2,3,…. The CPT-investor delegates his wealth management to the portfolio manager who this investor most trusts. We add the element of trust to the traditional value function of a CPT-investor. Denoted by τi,j∈[0,1] the investor i's level of trust on the money manager j. The higher τi,j represents that the investor puts more trust in the manager j and the investor i suffers less anxiety when he invests his wealth in a risky asset with the manager j. The fee rate charged by money manager j is denoted by fj. Let ai,j=aτi,j, where a is a nonnegative constant. Indeed, ai,j is the measure of the CPT-investor i's anxiety when he hires the manager j. a represents the measure of the CPT-investor i's anxiety when he hires the most trusted manager. The idea will be specially formalize in the next section.

In this paper, we only consider a simple case in which the CPT-investor hires one of two managers, A or B. So, in the section 2.3, we directly set j = A and j = B. We suppose that half of the CPT-investors trust the manager A more than the manager B. These investors are denoted by A-trusting investors. Similarly, there are half of the CPT-investors trusting the manager B more than the manager A, who are called B-trusting investors. The anxiety which an A-investor suffers when he invests in the risky asset on the manager A equals a. To similar, the anxiety suffered by a B-investor for bearing risky with the manager B's financial advice is also a. It can differ from different CPT-investors how much they trust one manager over the other. Particularly, in the population of CPT-investors τi satisfies uniformly distributed on [1−θ,1] for both A-trusting investors and B-trusting investors, where parameter θ∈[0,1] captures the dispersion of trust in the population. The lower is θ, the less investors trust one manager more than the other. When θ=0, the investor trusts one manager as much as the other. This dispersion in trust level makes the money managers gain respect of the CPT-investors who trust these managers more. And, these managers can charge the optimal and positive fees even in a competitive financial market. The trust is permanent and does not depend on the change of returns.

Simply speaking, we consider the following the optimal problems. Two managers A and B decide the optimal fees at the time t ( t=0,1,…,T−1 ) in order to attract the CPT-investors and gain most total profits in competition at the time T. From the CPT-investors' standpoint, at the time t, the investors choose the optimal portfolio in order to maximize their own objective function at the time T.

III. THE MODEL

a) The Benchmarked Wealth

Let Rtk=∏j=tk−1(1+rj)(0≤t≤T−1,1≤k≤T), with k≥t be the value of 1 dollar (in the portfolio at time t ) at time k. If the initial time is t, we let the benchmark be RtkWi,t at the time k (this is the amount at time k of Wt invested in the risk free asset at time t ). The benchmarked wealth at time t+1, given initial time t is

W―i,tt+1=Rtt+1Wi,t+ytvi,t−Rtt+1Wi,t=ytvi,t

Given the initial time t the benchmarked wealth at time t+2 is

(3.2)W―i,tt+2=Rt+1t+2Wi,t+1+yt+1vi,t+1−Rtt+2Wi,t=Rt+1t+2ytvi,t+yt+1vi,t+1.

Generally, we let the initial time be t(t=0,1,2,…,T−1). We can characterize the benchmarked wealth at the end of the investment horizon by the following Proposition.

Proposition 3.1. (See Deng and Pirvu (2015)) If the initial time is t (t = 0, 1, 2,..., T - 1), then the benchmarked wealth at T is:

(3.3)W―i,tT=Rt+1Tvi,tyt+Rt+2Tvi,t+1yt+1+…+RT−1Tvi,T−2yT−2+vi,T−1yT−1.

b) The CPT Risk Criterion

Before we define the value function and the objective function of a CPT-investor, we introduce two indispensable and classical definitions.

Definition 3.1. (see Tversky and Kahneman (1992a) and Tversky and Kahneman (1992b)) The value function u is defined as follows:

u(x)={u+(x) if x≥0,−u−(−x) if x<0,

where u+:R―+→R―+ and u−:R―+→R―+ satisfy:

(i) u(0)=u+(0)=u−(0)=0;

(ii) u+(+∞)=u−(+∞)=+∞;

(iii) u+(x)=xα, with 0<α<1 and x≥0;

(iv) u−(x)=βxα, with β>1 and x≥0.

Definition 3.2. Let FW(⋅) be the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a random variable W. We define the two probability weight functions (distortions) T+:[0,1]→[0,1] and T−:[0,1]→[0,1] as follows:

T+(FW(x))=FWγ(x)(FWγ(x)+(1−FWγ(x))γ)1/γ,with0.28<γ<1
T−(FW(x))=FWδ(x)(FWδ(x)+(1−FWδ(x))δ)1/δ,with0.28<δ<1.

When the CPT investor is risk averse, he feels less anxious and nervous about bearing the risk when he has the assistance of a trusted and experienced money manager. The CPT investor is only risk averse when the benchmark wealth is nonnegative, i.e., x≥0. When x < 0, the CPT investor is risk seeking. Thus, we only need to modify value function u+ and can leave value function u− unchanged.

Definition 3.3. When investor i chooses manager j to invest wealth in the risky asset, if τi is uniformly distributed on [1−θ,1], we definite the value function of a CPT investor as follows:

ui,j(W―i,tT,ai,j)(3.4)={ui,j+(W―i,tT)=u+(W―i,tT−fj+aτi,jσ2)=(W―i,tT−fj+aτi,jσ2)αW―i,tT≥0,ui,j−(−W―i,tT)=−u−(−(W―i,tT−fj+aτi,jσ2))=−β(−W―i,tT+fj−aτi,jσ2)αW―i,tT<0.

It is worth stressing that ai,j has a different meaning from that used by Gennaioli et al. In our model, ai,j is the measure of CPT investor i's trust when he hires manager j. In particular, a represents a measure of CPT investor i's anxiety when he hires his most trusted manager. However, in Gennaioli et al.'s model, ai,j is the measure of CPT investor i's anxiety when he hires manager j:

ui,j(c)=E(c)−ai,j2Var(c)

This different meaning is attributable to different reference levels. In our model, ai,j, as a measure of trust, makes the value function of a risk-averse investor without a manager's help, Wiα, increase to that of a risk-averse investor with a manager's help, (Wi−fj+aτi,jσ2)α. In other words, we take the value function of a risk-averse investor without a manager's help, Wiα, as a reference level. In Gennaioli et al.'s model, ai,j, as a measure of anxiety, makes the value function of a risk-neutral investor E(c) decrease to that of a risk-averse investor, E(c)−ai,j2Var(c). In other words, they take the value function of a risk-neutral investor, E(c), as a reference level. If we examine the value function of a risk-averse investor without a manager's help, E(c)−Var(c), as a reference in Gennaioli et al.'s model, we find that 1−ai,j2 has a similar meaning to that of our ai,j. That is, in Gennaioli et al.'s model, the measure of trust is 1−ai,j2.

Here, trust (τi,j/ai,j) relates to the advertisements for money manager j, money manager j's services for investor i, investor i's investment experience, and investor i's educational background, among others. However, trust does not depend on the riskiness of risky assets. Therefore, when manager j invests in riskier projects, investor i's level of trust in manager j remains the same. This assumption is consistent with that of Gennaioli et al.

We assume that the anxiety suffered by CPT investor i for bearing the risk with the assistance of any manager j is less than it would be if he were to invest on his own, even if manager j is not CPT investor i's most trusted manager. That is, we suppose that

aτi,jσ2−fj≥0.

To clearly explain our model, we introduce the subjective risk premium as Davies and Satchell involved (see Davies and Satchell, 2004). Denote the probability of a gain by p. The subjective premium, λ, is defined as

(3.6)ui,j(Es(W―i,tT)−λ)=(1−p)E[ui,j−(W―i,tT)m−(W―i,tT)|W―i,tT<0]+pE[ui,j+(W―i,tT)m−(W―i,tT)|W―i,tT>0],

where

m+(W―i,tT)=(T+)′(FW―i,tT(x)),
m−(W―i,tT)=(T−)′(FW―i,tT(x)),
Es(W―i,tT)=∫0+∞x(T+)′(FW―i,tT(x))dx+∫−∞0x(T−)′(FW―i,tT(x))dx

and E[⋅] is a expected value in a traditional sense.

We compare a subjective risk premium for no manager's help with that for a manager's help. Denote the former by λ0 and latter by λ.

Proposition 3.2. When CPT investor i is risk averse, that is, λ>0. CPT investor i face a gamble with outcomes distributed according a random benchmarked wealth. Then, the manager's help can reduce his anxiety, that is, λ<λ0.

We prove this in Appendix A.

G1=(ui,j−)′(0)m−(−π),
H1=12((ui,j−)′′(0)m−(−π)+(ui,j−)′(0)(m−)′(−π)),
G2=(ui,j+)′(0)m−(−π),
H2=12((ui,j+)′′(0)m−(−π)+(ui,j+)′(0)(m−)′(−π)),
G3=(ui,j+)′(π)m+(0)+ui,j+(π)(m+0)′(0),
(3.7)H3=2((ui,j+)′′(π)m+(0)+2(ui,j+)′(π)(m+)′(0)+ui,j+(π)(m+)′′(0)),I=ui,j+(π)m+(0).

We can obtain the following proposition about risk premiums.

Proposition 3.3. If Es(W―i,tT)≥0, E(W―i,tT)≥0 and

G1ui,j′(0)>0,H1ui,j′(0)<0,G2ui,j′(0)<0,H2ui,j′(0)<0,Iui,j′(0)<0,G3ui,j′(0)<0,H3ui,j′(0)<0,

then the objective risk premium is positive, that is, CPT investor i is locally risk aversion. Moreover, the subjective risk premium is positive, λ>0, that is, he believes himself to be risk aversion.

We prove this in Appendix B.

Definition 3.4. Define the objective function of the CPT-investor at the time t, denoted by U(W―i,tT,fj), as:

(3.8)U(W―i,tT,fj)=∫0+∞T+(1−FW―i,tT(x))dui,j+(x)+∫−∞0T−(FW―i,tT(x))dui,j−(−x)

where W―i,tT is the benchmark wealth. U(W―i,tT,fj) is a sum of two Choguet integrals (see Choquet (1953) and Chateauneuf et al. (2000)). It is well-defined when

α<2min(δ,γ).

c) Characterization of the Optimal Portfolio Choices

In this section we formulate the CPT investor objective. Since the benchmark at the end of investment horizon is RtTWi,t, it is changing with respect to t. This makes optimal strategies time inconsistent. Due to this predicament we consider sub game perfect strategies which are formally defined below.

We first consider the optimal problem on the time period [T−1,T]. At the time T−1, we discuss the optimal problem

(P1):supvi,T−1∈R+U(W―i,T−1T(vi,T−1),fj)=supvi,T−1∈R+[∫0+∞T(1−FW―i,T−1T(x))dui,j+(x)+∫−∞0T−(FW―i,T−1T(x))dui,j−(−x)].

And, we can obtain the optimal solution of (P1)

vi,T−1∗=argmaxvi,T−1∈R+U(W―i,T−1T(vT−1),fj)=argmaxvi,T−1∈R+[∫0+∞T(1−FW―i,T−1T(x))dui,j+(x)+∫−∞0T−(FW―i,T−1T(x))dui,j−(−x)].

Applying policy iteration to the more general time period [t,T] ( t=0,1,…,T−1 ), we seek the subgame perfect investment strategies

Vi,t={vi,k∗k=t+1,t+2,...,T−1,vi,kk=t.

for an arbitrary Ft -adapted control vi,t.

At the time t, we consider the optimal problem

(Pn):maxVi,tU(W―i,tT,fj)=maxVi,t[∫0+∞T(1−FW―i,tT(x))dui,j+(x)+∫−∞0T−(FW―i,tT(x))dui,j−(−x)].

And, we have the optimal solution of (Pn)

(3.11)

Vi,t∗=(vi,t∗,vi,2∗,…,vi,T−1∗)=argmaxVi,tU(W―i,tT,fj)=argmaxVi,t[∫0+∞T(1−FW―i,tT(x))dui,j+(x)+∫−∞0T−(FW―i,tT(x))dui,j−(−x)].

The optimal time consistent strategy is Vi,0∗=(vi,0∗,vi,1∗,…,vi,T∗).

d) The Portfolio Optimization

We get a important result for the optimal fees of managers.

Theorem 3.4. Given that Vi,t>0 (no short-selling), the subgame perfect CPT-investment strategy is given by Vi,0∗=(v0∗,v1∗,...,vT∗), where

(3.13)vi,t∗={ki,t∗(aτi,jσ2−fj)Wi,tWi,t≥0k¯i,t∗(aτi,jσ2−fj)Wi,tWi,t<0

where

ki,t∗=argmaxz≥0Gi,t(z),
k¯i,t∗=argmaxz<0Li,t(z)
Gi,t(z)=E[(1+rt+zyt)αAi,t+1I1+rt+zyt≥0−(−1−rt−zyt)αBi,t+1I1+rt+zyt<0|FT−2](t=0,1,...,T−2),
Li,t(z)=E[(−1−rt−zyt)αAi,t+1I1+rt+zyt≤0−(1+rt+zyt)αBi,t+1I1+rt+zyt>0|Ft](t=0,1,...,T−2),
Gi,T−1(z)=∫0+∞T+(1−FyT−1(y))α(zy+1Wi,T−1)α−1zdy
−∫−∞0T−(FyT−1(y))λα(−zy)α−1zdy,
Li,T−1(z)=∫0+∞T+(1−FyT−1(y))α(−zy+1Wi,T−1)α−1zdy−∫−∞0T−(FyT−1(y))λα(zy)α−1zdy,
Ai,t=maxz≥0Gi,t(z),(t=0,1,…T−1)
Bi,t=−maxz<0Li,t(z)(t=0,1,…T−1).

We prove this in Appendix C.

 IV. THE OBJECTIVE 

Here, we only consider two managers, A and B. If investor i has greater trust in manager A than in manager B, then τi,A=1. τi,B is uniformly distributed on [1−θ,1], where the parameter θ∈[0,1] captures the dispersion of trust in the population. Here, we call investor i an A-trusting investor. Analogously, there are other investors called B-trusting investors, who trust manager B more than manager A. In the following section, we will discuss the total profit of manager A.

We first discuss the total profit of manager A when fA≥fB.

maxvi,t∈RU(W―i,tT,fA)≥maxvi,t∈RU(W―i,tT,fB),

investor i prefers manager A to manager B.

Similar to the results in Deng (2015), we have

(aτi,Aσ2−fA)α(Wi,tαAi,tIWt≥0−(aτi,jσ2−fj)α(−Wi,t)αBi,tIWt<0)≥(aτi,Bσ2−fB)α(Wi,tαAi,tIWt≥0−(aτi,jσ2−fj)α(−Wi,t)αBi,tIWt<0).

Thus,

aσ2(τi,A−τi,B)≥(fA−fB).

Note that the right-hand side of (4.1) is not less than 0. For B-trusting investors, the left-hand side of (4.1) is less than 0. Thus, (4.1) does not hold. That is, none of the B-trusting investors will choose manager A.

For an A-trusting investor, if

τi,B≤1−σ2a(fA−fB),

the A-trusting investor prefers manager B. Namely, although manager A charges a higher fee than manager B, some A-trusting investors have so little trust in manager B that they prefer manager A, regardless of manager A's higher fee.

Hence, when fA≥fB, given Theorem 3.4, we can state that the manager A obtains total profit

fA(aσ2−fA)Wi,t(ki,t∗IWi,t≥0+k¯i,t∗IWi,t<0)∫max[1−θ,σ2afB]max[1−θ,σ2afB,1−σ2a(fA−fB)]12θdτi,B=fA(aσ2−fA)Wi,t(ki,t∗IWi,t≥0+k¯i,t∗IWi,t<0)∫max[1−θ,σ2afB]max[1−θ,1−σ2a(fA−fB)]12θdτi,B.

In fact, we can demonstrate that 1−θ≥σ2afB. Otherwise, there would be some paradoxical results. Specifically, when 1−θ<σ2afB, if there exists any τi,B∈[1−θ,σ2afB], then this is inconsistent with equation (3.5). If no τi,B satisfies τi,B∈[1−θ,σ2afB], namely, any τi,B∈[σ2afB,1], this contradicts the assumption that τi,B is uniformly distributed on [1−θ,1]. Thus, 1−θ≥σ2afB is reasonable.

Moreover, if

maxvi,t∈RU(W―i,tT,fB)≥maxvi,t∈RU(W―i,tT,fA),

namely,

aσ2(τi,B−τi,A)≥(fB−fA),

the investor i prefers manager B to manager A.

Since τi,A−τi,B∈[−θ,θ], equation (4.2) indicates that

σ2a(fB−fA)≥−θ.

Otherwise, the equation (4.2) will always hold and the CPT-investor i will always prefer the manager B. Then, manager A earns zero profit. Manager A could reduce his fee and make positive profits.

When fA≥fB, manager A's total profit UfA(fA,fB) is rewritten as

UA(fA,fB)=fA(aσ2−fA)Wi,t(ki,t∗IWi,t≥0+k¯i,t∗IWi,t<0)∫1−θ1−σ2a(fA−fB)12θdτi,B.

Subsequently, we consider fA<fB.

If

maxvi,t∈RU(W―i,tT,fA)≥maxvi,t∈RU(W―i,tT,fB),

investor i prefers manager A to manager B.

From

(aτi,Aσ2−fA)α(Wi,tαAi,tIWt≥0−(−Wi,t)αBi,tIWt<0)≥(aτi,Bσ2−fB)α(Wi,tαAi,tIWt≥0−(−Wi,t)αBi,tIWt<0).

we can demonstrate that

aσ2(τi,A−τi,B)≥(fA−fB).

If investor i is an A-trusting investor, as mentioned above, τi,A=1. Hence, τi,A−τi,B≥0. Since the right-hand of (4.3) is less than 0, (4.1) always holds. Therefore, all A-trusting investors prefer manager A.

For a B-trusting investor and when τi,B=1, if

τi,A≥1+σ2a(fA−fB),

a B-trusting investor will choose manager A, as he hopes to pay less in management fees.

Therefore, when fB>fA, manager A's total profit is

fAWi,t(ki,t∗IWi,t≥0+k¯i,t∗IWi,t<0)[12(aσ2−fA)+∫max[1−θ,1+σ2a(fA−fB)]1(aτi,Aσ2−fA)12θdτi,A].

From equation (4.3), we have that

(4.4)σ2a(fA−fB)≥−θ.

That is,

max[1−θ,1+σ2a(fA−fB)]=1+σ2a(fA−fB).

Therefore, when fB>fA, manager A's total profit UfA(fA,fB) is

(4.5)UA(fA,fB)=fAWi,t(ki,t∗IWi,t≥0+k¯i,t∗IWi,t<0)[12(aσ2−fA)+∫1+σ2a(fA−fB)1(aτi,Aσ2−fA)12θdτi,A].

As for the above results, we can obtain the manager A's total profits UA(fA,fB) by

(4.6)UA(fA,fB)={fA(aσ2−fA)Wi,t(ki,t∗IWi,t≥0+k¯i,t∗IWi,t<0)∫1−θ1−σ2a(fA−fB)12θdτi,B. if fA≥fB,fAWi,t(ki,t∗IWi,t≥0+k¯i,t∗IWi,t<0)⋅[12(aσ2−fA)+∫1+σ2a(fA−fB)1(aτi,Aσ2−fA)12θdτi,A]. if fA<fB.

Similarly, the total profit UB(fA,fB) of manager B is given by

(4.7)UB(fA,fB)={fB(aσ2−fB)Wi,t(ki,t∗IWi,t≥0+k¯i,t∗IWi,t<0)∫1−θ1−σ2a(fB−fA)12θdτi,A. if fB>fA,fBWi,t(ki,t∗IWi,t≥0+k¯i,t∗IWi,t<0)⋅[12(aσ2−fB)+∫1+σ2a(fB−fA)1(aτi,Bσ2−fB)12θdτi,B]. if fB≤fA.

The above results lead us directly to the key theorem below.

Theorem 4.1. Suppose that τi,B is uniformly distributed on [1−θ,1], where the parameter θ∈[0,1] captures the dispersion of trust in the population. If the managers provide a service for the investors, all of whom behave according to CPT, namely, all are CPT investors, we can characterize manager A 's the total profit UA(fA,fB) by

(4.8)UA(fA,fB)
={fA(aσ2−fA)Wi,t(ki,t∗IWi,t≥0+k¯i,t∗IWi,t<0)12θ(θ−σ2a(fA−fB))if fA≥fB,fAWi,t(ki,t∗IWi,t≥0+k¯i,t∗IWi,t<0)⋅[12(aσ2−fA)+14θ(2−σ2afB−σ2afA)(fB−fA)]if fA<fB,

and manager B's total profit UB(fA,fB) by

(4.9)UB(fA,fB)={fB(aσ2−fB)Wi,t(ki,t∗IWi,t≥0+k¯i,t∗IWi,t<0)12θ(θ−σ2a(fB−fA))if fB>fA,fBWi,t(ki,t∗IWi,t≥0+k¯i,t∗IWi,t<0)⋅[12(aσ2−fB)+14θ(2−σ2afA−σ2afB)(fA−fB)]if fB≤fA.

(4.10)

V. THE RESULTS

This section identifies the optimal fees in two different cases, one in which the dominant manager is manager A and the other in which the dominant manager is manager B.

Proposition 5.1. We set

fA∗=arg⁡maxfAUA(fA,fB)

and

fB∗=arg⁡maxfBUB(fA∗,fB).

If manager A is in a dominant position and manger B is in a subordinate position in the financial market, then fA≥fB. Furthermore, the implicitly optimal solutions of fA∗ and fB∗ satisfy

(5.1)fA∗=2x−1+2θ−(2x−1+2θ)2−4(x−1+θ)2σ2/a

and

(5.2)fB∗=2θ+2−x−(2θ+2−x)2−4(θ+12(1−x2))2σ2/a,

where

x=1−σ2a(fA∗−fB∗).

The approximately and explicitly optimal solutions of fA∗ and fB∗ are as follows

(5.3)fA∗=C+Daσ2
(5.4)fB∗=E+Faσ2,
(5.5)C=2θ+2(2θ+1)1/2−1>0,
(5.6)D=12[8(θ−1)(2θ+1)1/2+4θ2+3],
(5.7)E=12(4θ−2+4(2θ+1)1/2)>0

and

(5.8)F=12((8θ−6)(2θ+1)1/2+4θ2+).

If manager B is in a dominant position and manger A is in a subordinate position in the financial market, we obtain the symmetrical results.

The proof of this proposition is seen in Appendix D.

It is valuable to notice that the result coincides with the static result (see Deng (2015)). Here, we must stress that Gennaioli et al.'s fA and fB are the rates of fees while our fA and fB are the amounts of fees. To more clearly compare our results with those of Gennaioli et al., we calculate the rates of fees in our model and attain the following proposition.

Proposition 5.2. Let the rates of fees be

(5.9)FA=fAWiandFB=fBWi.

In addition, set

FA∗=argmaxFAUA(FA,FB∗)

and

FB∗=argmaxFBUB(FA∗,FB).

If manager A is in a dominant position and manager B is in a subordinate position in the financial market, then

(5.10)FA∗=−1k^ξ+1k^ξ(1−Cσ2a)+D

and

(5.11)FB∗=−1k^ξ+1k^ξ(1−Eσ2a)+F.

Conversely, if manager B is in a dominant position and manager A is in a subordinate position in the financial market, then

(5.12)FB∗=−1k^ξ+1k^ξ(1−Cσ2a)+D
(5.13)FA∗=−1k^ξ+1k^ξ(1−Eσ2a)+F.

Moreover, both FA∗ and FB∗ are increasing functions of σ2. That is, a riskier asset commands higher rates of fees, such that managers are willing to take on market risk.

The proof of this proposition is provided in Appendix E.

Although managers serve CPT investors rather than risk-averse investors in the classical theory, they also charge higher rates for riskier assets. This mechanism is consistent with that of Gennaioli et al.

Remark 5.1. Proposition 5.2 indicates that the rates of net fees are higher for riskier assets. We find that the rates of gross fees are also higher for riskier assets. Given that GFj is the amount of the gross fee, we can obtain the rate of the gross fee, GFj, as follows:

(5.14)GFj=aτi,jσ2+fjWi=−1k^ξ+2k^ξ11+D−Cσ2aτi,j.

Hence,

(5.15)∂GFj∂σ2=2k^ξCaτi,j(1+D−Cσ2aτi,j)−2>0.

Therefore, GFj is an increasing function of σ2. That is, the rate of the gross fee is also higher for riskier assets.

From above results, we find that the optimal fees obtained for the dominant managers are not very satisfactory because the optimal solutions are implicit, not explicit. This shortcoming is always a major obstacle to the application of CPT. To nullify this disadvantage, we use an effective software program to obtain the above approximately explicit solution. However, the explicit solution is so complicated that we cannot clearly analyze the relationship between the managers' optimal fees and the various parameters. Therefore, we will describe this relationship using numerical analysis.

VI. NUMERICAL ANALYSIS

In this section, under the assumption that all of the investors are CPT investors served by either manager A or B, we focus primarily on the optimal problem for multiple stocks. The single-stock problem is similar to the multiple-stock problem, except that σ^ is replaced with σ. We assume that manager A is in the dominant position in and the manager B is in the subordinate position. We examine how the parameter σ^2a affects the strategies of managers A and B.

Figure 1: The optimal fees of the manager A and the manager B
Figure 1: The optimal fees of the manager A and the manager B

Figure 1 illustrates three principle findings. i) Both the manager in the dominant position and the manager in the subordinate position charge lower fees when the parameter aσ^2 increases. When aσ^2 increases from 0 to 5.0, manager A's fee declines to 5% from 30% while manager B's fee declines to 5% from 25%. When increasing the parameter aσ^2, the decrease in the index σ^2 reflects the less risks associated with the portfolio of the risky assets. Hence, from the managers' perspective, manager A (who is in the dominant position) only need lower rates of fees to take risk. Manager B (who is in the subordinate position) has to reduce his fees to compete with manager A and earn a profit. ii) Manager A (who, again, is in a dominant position) charges a higher fee than the subordinate manager B. The highest fee charged by manger A is approximately 30%, while the highest fee charged by manger B is approximately 25%. iii) The parameter θ slightly affects the optimal fees. For fixed aσ^2=5.0, when θ increases by 1.0 from 0.5, manager A's fee increases from 5.0 to approximately 9.0 whereas manager B's fee increases to 8.0 from 5.0.

Figure 2: The optimal total pro_ts of the manager A and the manager B
Figure 2: The optimal total pro_ts of the manager A and the manager B

Figure 2 also reveals three principle findings. i) The total profits of the manager in the dominant position and the manager in the subordinate position both increase in parameter σ^2a increases. For fixed θ=0.5, when σ^2a increases from 0 to 5.0, manager A's total profit increases to 0.98 from 0 while manager B's total profit increases to 0.34 from 0. Note that when σ^2a=0, the total profits of manager A and manager B are both 0. This reason is that σ^2a=0 means the risk associated with the portfolio of risky assets is quite small, and thus, CPT investors prefer to invest on their own instead of with money managers. Note further that when relating the fees to the total profits, total profits increase when the fees decline. This signifies that a strategy of reducing fees would be effective in the financial market. Although the managers charge lower fees when σ^2a increases, the total profits increase because lower fees attract more CPT investors. ii) Manager A (who is in a dominant position) obtains more total profits than the manger in the subordinate position. For fixed θ=0.5, the largest total profit for manger A is approximately 0.98 while the largest total profit for manger B is approximately 0.34. iii) The parameter θ has a greater influence on manager B's total profit than on manager A's total profit. For fixed σ^2a=5.0, when θ increases by 1.0 from 0.5, manager B's total profit falls from 0.34 to approximately 0.18 whereas manager A's total profit declines from 0.98 to 0.95.

VII. CONCLUSION

This article obtains some subtle and delicate results. Our results have both similarities to and differences from those of Gennaioli, Shieifer and Vishny.

We analyze different investors from those considered by Gennaioli, Shieifer and Vishny, but we obtain some results similar to theirs. We also find that a CPT investor is willing to invest in a risky asset with the manager whom he trusts most. A CPT investor prefers to accept the higher fee that this manager charges to retain him. Even when money managers compete on fees, these fees do not decline to equal costs and substantial market segmentation remains. Indeed, we obtain a result similar to Gennaioli, Shieifer and Vishny's that a CPT investor will accept higher fees from his most trusted manager when this investor invests in more risky asset.

There are two main differences between our optimal strategies and those based on classical preferences.

First, the optimal fees are not symmetric in our case. Specially, the dominant managers obtain a higher fee than do subordinate managers, regardless of changes in risk σ^2 (or σ2 ) and the parameter θ. This result demonstrates that a higher fee does not directly lead to reduced competition (at least from the perspective of CPT) and causes the dominant manager to obtain more total profit. From an economic perspective, the managers who are in the dominant position charge a higher fee than do subordinate managers to extract greater benefits. A manager in a subordinate position has to charge a lower fee than do dominant managers to survive and occupy market share in competition.

Another difference between our results and those based on classical preferences is that these fees are not proportional to expected returns. But, they are positively related, which is consistent with classical results. That is, a riskier asset commands higher rates of fees, so that managers are willing to take market risk.

APPENDIX

Appendix A: The Proof of Proposition 3.2

Proof. From the definition of a subjective risk premium, (3.6), it is easy to show that

(8.1)ui,j(Es(W―i,tT)−λ0)=(1−p)E[ui,j−(W―i,tT)m−(W―i,tT)|W―i,tT<0]+pE[ui,j+(W―i,tT)m+(W―i,tT)|W―i,tT>0],

and

(8.2)ui,j(Es(W―i,tT)−λ)=(1−p)(E[ui,j+(W―i,tT+π)m−(W―i,tT)|−π≤W―i,tT<0]+E[ui,j−(W―i,tT+π)m−(W―i,tT)|W―i,tT<−π])+pE[ui,j+(W―i,tT+π)m+(W―i,tT)|W―i,tT>0].

Because both of ui,j+ and ui,j− are increasing functions, we have

ui,j−(W―i,tT+π)>ui,j−(W―i,tT),
ui,j+(W―i,tT+π)>0>ui,j−(W―i,tT),
ui,j+(W―i,tT+π)>ui,j+(W―i,tT).

Besides, from m+(⋅)≥0 and m−(⋅)≥0, we can show that

ui,j−(W―i,tT+π)m−(W―i,tT)≥ui,j−(W―i,tT)m−(W―i,tT),
ui,j+(W―i,tT+π)m−(W―i,tT)≥ui,j−(W―i,tT)m−(W―i,tT),

and

ui,j+(W―i,tT+π)m+(W―i,tT)≥ui,j+(W―i,tT)m+(W―i,tT).

Hence,

(8.3)(1−p)(E[ui,j+(W―i,tT+π)m−(W―i,tT)|−π≤W―i,tT<0]+E[ui,j−(W―i,tT+π)m−(W―i,tT)|W―i,tT<−π])≥(1−p)E[ui,j−(W―i,tT)m−(W―i,tT)|W―i,tT<0]+pE[ui,j+(W―i,tT)m+(W―i,tT)|W―i,tT>0].

That is,

(8.4)ui,j(Es(W―i,tT)−λ)≥ui,j(Es(W―i,tT)−λ0).

Noticing ui,j is a increasing function, we believe that

λ≤λ0.

Appendix B: The Proof of Proposition 3.3

Proof. Taking a first order Taylor approximation around 0 on the left hand side of (8.2) yields

(8.5)LHS=ui,j(0)+ui,j′(0)(Es(W―i,tT)−λ).

And a second order approximation around −π on the first two terms of the right hand side of (8.2) and a second order approximation around 0 on the last term of right hand side of (8.2) show

RHS=(1−p)((ui,j−)′(0)m−(−π)E[W―i,tT+π|W―i,tT<−π]+12((ui,j−)′′(0)m−(−π)+(ui,j−)′(0)(m−)′(−π))E[(W―i,tT+π)2|W―i,tT<−π])+(1−p)((ui,j+)′(0)m−(−π)E[W―i,tT+π|−π≤W―i,tT<0]+12((ui,j+)′′(0)m−(−π)+(ui,j+)′(0)(m−)′(−π))E[(W―i,tT+π)2|−π≤W―i,tT<0])
+p(ui,j+(π)m+(0)+((ui,j+)′(π)m+(0)+ui,j+(π)(m+0)′(0))E[W―i,tT|W―i,tT>0]+12((ui,j+)′′(π)m+(0)+2(ui,j+)′(π)(m+)′(0)+ui,j+(π)(m+)′′(0))E[(W―i,tT)2|W―i,tT>0])

To simply write, we let

(8.6)

(8.7)G1=(ui,j−)′(0)m−(−π),H1=12((ui,j−)′′(0)m−(−π)+(ui,j−)′(0)(m−)′(−π)),G2=(ui,j+)′(0)m−(−π),H2=12((ui,j+)′′(0)m−(−π)+(ui,j+)′(0)(m−)′(−π)),G3=(ui,j+)′(π)m+(0)+ui,j+(π)(m+0)′(0),H3=12((ui,j+)′′(π)m+(0)+2(ui,j+)′(π)(m+)′(0)+ui,j+(π)(m+)′′(0)),I=ui,j+(π)m+(0).

Then, rewrite (8.8) as

(8.8)RHS=(1−p)(G1⋅E[W―i,tT+π|W―i,tT<−π]+H1⋅E[(W―i,tT+π)2|W―i,tT<−π])+(1−p)(G2⋅E[W―i,tT+π|−π≤W―i,tT<0]+H2⋅E[(W―i,tT+π)2|−π≤W―i,tT<0])+p(I+G3⋅E[W―i,tT|W―i,tT>0]+H3⋅E[(W―i,tT)2|W―i,tT>0])

Since LHS≈RHS, we have

λ=Es(W―i,tT)−1ui,j′(0)RHS=Es(W―i,tT)−(1−p)(G1ui,j′(0)⋅E[W―i,tT+π|W―i,tT<−π]+H1ui,j′(0)⋅E[(W―i,tT+π)2|W―i,tT<−π])−(1−p)(G2ui,j′(0)⋅E[W―i,tT+π|−π≤W―i,tT<0]+H2ui,j′(0)⋅E[(W―i,tT+π)2|−π≤W―i,tT<0])−p(Iui,j′(0)+G3ui,j′(0)⋅E[W―i,tT|W―i,tT>0]+H3ui,j′(0)⋅E[(W―i,tT)2|W―i,tT>0]).

Thus, when Es(W―i,tT)≥0 and

G1ui,j′(0)>0,H1ui,j′(0)<0,G2ui,j′(0)<0,H2ui,j′(0)<0,Iui,j′(0)<0,G3ui,j′(0)<0,H3ui,j′(0)<0,

we have λ>0.

Similarly, when E(W―i,tT)≥0 and

G1ui,j′(0)>0,H1ui,j′(0)<0,G2ui,j′(0)<0,H2ui,j′(0)<0,Iui,j′(0)<0,G3ui,j′(0)<0,H3ui,j′(0)<0,

we can obtain the result that the objective risk premium is positive.

Appendix C: The Proof of Theorem 3.4

Proof. Using the result in Deng (2015), we obtain that

(8.9)maxvi,T−1∈RU(W―i,T−1T(vi,T−1),fj)=(aτi,jσ2−fj)αWi,T−1αAT−1IWi,T−1≥0−(aτi,jσ2−fj)α(−Wi,T−1)αBi,T−1IWi,T−1<0,

and

(8.10)vi,T−1∗={ki,T−1∗(aτi,jσ2−fj)Wi,T−1Wi,T−1≥0k¯i,T−1∗(aτi,jσ2−fj)Wi,T−1Wi,T−1<0

We also hope to prove the similar result to equation (8.9), when t=0,1,…,T−2. That is

(8.11)maxVi,tU(W―i,tT(Vi,t),fj)=(aτi,jσ2−fj)αWi,tαAi,tIWt≥0−(aτi,jσ2−fj)α(−Wi,t)αBi,tIWt<0,

We use mathematical induction to prove this proposition. Equation (8.9) shows that equation (8.11) holds at the time T-1. We suppose the conclusion holds at the time t+1. Namely,

maxVi,t+1U(W―i,t+1T,fj)=(aτi,jσ2−fj)αWi,t+1αAi,t+1IWi,t+1≥0−(aτi,jσ2−fj)α(−Wi,t+1)αBi,t+1IWi,t+1<0.

We use iterated conditioning to prove that

(8.12)

(8.13)maxVi,tU(W―i,tT,fj)=maxvi,tEt[maxVi,t+1U(W―i,t+1T,fj)]=maxvi,tE[(aτi,jσ2−fj)αWi,t+1αAi,t+1IWt+1≥0−(aτi,jσ2−fj)α(−Wi,t+1)αBi,t+1IWt+1<0|Ft].
vt=Wi,tki,t.

Since

Wi,t+1=(1+rt)Wi,t+vi,tyt,

when Wi,t≥0, it is easy to show that

(8.14)maxVi,tU(W―i,tT,fj)=(aτi,jσ2−fj)αWi,tαmaxki,t≥0E[(1+rt+ki,tyt)αAi,t+1I1+rt+ki,tyt≥0−(−1−rt−ki,tyt)αBi,t+1I1+rt+ki,tyt<0|Ft]=(aτi,jσ2−fj)αWi,tαmaxki,t≥0Gi,t(ki,t)=(aτi,jσ2−fj)αWi,tαAi,t.

Similarly, when Wi,t<0, we get that

(8.15)maxVi,tU(W―i,tT,fj)=(aτi,jσ2−fj)α(−Wi,t)αmaxk¯i,t<0E[(−1−rT−2−k¯i,tyt)αAi,t+1I1+rt+k¯i,tyt≤0−(1+rt+k¯i,tyt)αBi,t+1I1+rt+k¯i,tyt>0|Ft]=(aτi,jσ2−fj)α(−Wi,t)αmaxk¯i,t<0Li,t(k¯i,t)=(aτi,jσ2−fj)α(−Wi,t)α(−Bi,t).

Therefore,

(8.16)maxVi,tU(W―i,tT(Vi,t),fj)=(aτi,jσ2−fj)αWi,tαAi,tIWt≥0−(aτi,jσ2−fj)α(−Wi,t)αBi,tIWt<0,

From this key result, it is easy to get the conclusion of Theorem 3.4

Appendix D: The proof of Proposition 5.1

Proof. Equation (4.1) identifies

σ2a(fA−fB)∈[−θ,θ].

Otherwise only one manager makes zero profits. This manager could cut his fee and make some positive profits as well. This condition alone implies that when θ=0, the unique equilibrium features fA∗=fB∗=0. So, we only need to discuss θ>0.

x=1−σ2a(fA−fB).

Now, we first consider fA≥fB. From Theorem 4.1, we can propose that

UA(fA,fB)=fA(aσ2−fA)Wi,t(ki,t∗IWi,t≥0+k¯i,t∗IWi,t<0)x−1+θ2θ
UB(fA,fB)=fBWi,t(ki,t∗IWi,t≥0+k¯i,t∗IWi,t<0)[12(aσ2−fB)+1θ(1+x−2σ2afB)aσ2(1−x)].

Set

∂UA∂fA=0

and

∂UB∂fB=0

We obtain

(8.17)fA=2x−1+2θ±(2x−1+2θ)2−4(x−1+θ)2σ2/a.

and

(8.18)fB=2θ+2−x±(2θ+2−x)2−4(θ+12(1−x2))2σ2/a.

Write

fA,1=2x−1+2θ−(2x−1+2θ)2−4(x−1+θ)2σ2/a,
fA,2=2x−1+2θ+(2x−1+2θ)2−4(x−1+θ)2σ2/a,
fB,1=2θ+2−x−(2θ+2−x)2−4(θ+12(1−x2))2σ2/a

and

fB,2=2θ+2−x+(2θ+2−x)2−4(θ+12(1−x2))2σ2/a.

Because

∂2UA∂fA2(fA,1)<0,∂2UA∂fA2(fA,2)>0,∂2UB∂fB2(fB,1)<0and∂2UB∂fB2(fB,2)>0.

fA,1 and fB,1 are separately the value locally maximizing UA and UB. Moreover,

UA(fA,1)≥max{UA(0),UA(aσ2)}
UB(fB,1)≥max{UB(0),UB(aσ2)}.

Therefore, fA,1 and fB,1 are respectively the value locally maximizing UA and UB. Furthermore,

UA(fA,1)≥UB(fB,1),

so if the manager A is in dominant position in the financial market, he prefers to charge higher fee fA than the fee fB of the manager B, in order to gain the more total profit UA than the total profit UB of the manager B. This is the conclusion of Proposition 5.1. Through the useful soft, such as Matlab and Mathematic, we can attain the approximately and explicitly optimal solutions of fA and fB as the equation (5.8) and the equation (5.4).

Symmetrically, when the manager B is in a dominant position and the manger A is in a subordinate position in the financial market, we attain the similar results.

Appendix E: The proof of Proposition 5.2

Proof. Given the definition of the rate of fees, we have

(8.19)FA=fAWi

and

FB=fBWi.

Because Wi=viξ=k(aτi,jσ2−fj)ξ, we easily obtain the following:

(8.20)FA∗=fA∗viξ=fA∗k^(aσ2−fA∗)ξ=fA∗−aσ2+aσ2k^(aσ2−fA∗)ξ=−1k^ξ+aσ2k^(aσ2−fA∗)ξ=−1k^ξ+aσ2k^(aσ2−(C+Daσ2))ξ=−1k^ξ+1k^(1−Cσ2a−D)ξ.

Therefore, we have

(8.21)∂FA∗∂σ2=1k^ξCa(1−Cσ2a−D)−2>0.

FA∗ is thus an increasing function of σ2.

Similarly, we have

FB∗=−1k^ξ+1k^(1−Eσ2a−F)ξ
(8.22)∂FB∗∂σ2=1k^ξEa(1−Eσ2a−F)−2>0.

Therefore, FB∗ is also an increasing function of σ2.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

The article is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (71201051).

References

35 Cites in Article
  1. 1. L Ackert,R Deaves (2013). Behavioral finance: psychology, decision-making, and markets. Behavioral finance: psychology, decision-making, and markets
  2. 2. H Andreas,I Roman,S Meyer (2012). Trading on advice. Trading on advice
  3. 3. Carole Bernard,Mario Ghossoub (2009). Static portfolio choice under Cumulative Prospect Theory. Mathematics and Financial Economics, 2(4), 277-306.
  4. 4. Carole Bernard,Xuedong He,Jia‐an Yan,Xun Zhou (2015). OPTIMAL INSURANCE DESIGN UNDER RANK‐DEPENDENT EXPECTED UTILITY. Mathematical Finance, 25(1), 154-186.
  5. 5. G Carlier,R-A Dana (2005). Existence and monotonicity of solutions to moral hazard problems. Journal of Mathematical Economics, 41(7), 826-843.
  6. 6. G Carlier,R Dana (2005). Rearrangement inequalities in non-convex insurance models. J Math Econ, 41, 483-503.
  7. 7. G Carlier,R Dana (2008). Two-persons efficient risk-sharing and equilibria for concave law-invariant utilities. Econ Theory, 36(2), 189-223.
  8. 8. G Carlier,R Dana (2011). OPTIMAL DEMAND FOR CONTINGENT CLAIMS WHEN AGENTS HAVE LAW INVARIANT UTILITIES. Mathematical Finance, 21(2), 169-201.
  9. 9. Alain Chateauneuf,Rose-Anne Dana,Jean-Marc Tallon (2000). Optimal risk-sharing rules and equilibria with Choquet-expected-utility. Journal of Mathematical Economics, 34(2), 191-214.
  10. 10. Gustave Choquet (1953). Theory of capacities. Annales de l'Institut Fourier, 5, 131-295.
  11. 11. R Dana,M Scarsini (2007). Optimal risk sharing with background risk. J Econ Theory, 133(1), 152-176.
  12. 12. L Deng (2015). The optimal insurance policy for the general fixed cost of handling an in-demnity under rankdependent expected utility. J Appl Math
  13. 13. Liurui Deng,Traian Pirvu (2015). Multi-Period Investment Strategies under Cumulative Prospect Theory. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 12(2), 83.
  14. 14. Liurui Deng,Zilan Liu (2015). One-period pricing strategy of ‘money doctors’ under cumulative prospect theory. Portuguese Economic Journal, 16(2), 113-144.
  15. 15. B Dhiab (2015). Demand for insurance under rank dependent expected utility model. Res J Financ Account, 6(8), 29-36.
  16. 16. G Devies,S Satchell,N Gennaioli,A Shleifer,R Vishny (2004). The behavioural components of risk aversion. Working paper 17. Money doctors. J Financ, 70(1), 91-114.
  17. 17. Xue He,Xun Zhou (2011). Portfolio Choice Under Cumulative Prospect Theory: An Analytical Treatment. Management Science, 57(2), 315-331.
  18. 18. Xue He,Xun Zhou (2011). PORTFOLIO CHOICE VIA QUANTILES. Mathematical Finance, 21(2), 203-231.
  19. 19. Hanqing Jin,Xun Yu Zhou (2008). BEHAVIORAL PORTFOLIO SELECTION IN CONTINUOUS TIME. Mathematical Finance, 18(3), 385-426.
  20. 20. C Judith,G Ellison (1997). Risk taking by mutual funds as a response to incentives. J Polit Econ, 105, 1167-1200.
  21. 21. C Judith,G Ellison (1999). Career concerns of mutual fund managers. Q J Econ, 114, 389-432.
  22. 22. Minsuk Kwak,Traian Pirvu,Huayue Zhang (2014). A Multiperiod Equilibrium Pricing Model. Journal of Applied Mathematics, 2014, 1-14.
  23. 23. J Neummann,O Morgenstern (1944). Theory of games and economic behavior. Theory of games and economic behavior
  24. 24. Traian Pirvu,Klaas Schulze (2012). Multi-stock portfolio optimization under prospect theory. Mathematics and Financial Economics, 6(4), 337-362.
  25. 25. T Pirvu,H Zhang (2013). Utility indifference pricing: A time consistent approach. Appl Math Financ, 326(20), 304.
  26. 26. John Quiggin (1991). Comparative statics for rank-dependent expected utility theory. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 4(4), 339-350.
  27. 27. I Roman,M Ottaviani (2009). Misselling through agents. Am Econ Rev, 99, 883-908.
  28. 28. I Roman,M Ottaviani (2012). Competition through commissions and kickbacks. Am Econ Rev, 102, 780-809.
  29. 29. I Roman,M Ottaviani (2012). Financial advice. J Econ Lit, 50, 494-512.
  30. 30. David Schmeidler (1989). Subjective Probability and Expected Utility without Additivity. Econometrica, 57(3), 571.
  31. 31. Yun Shi,Xiangyu Cui,Duan Li (2014). Discrete-Time Behavioral Portfolio Selection Under Prospect Theory. SSRN Electronic Journal
  32. 32. A Tversky,D Kahneman (1992). Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under rick. Econometrica, 47, 262-291.
  33. 33. Amos Tversky,Daniel Kahneman (1992). Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty. Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 5(4), 297-323.
  34. 34. G Veronica,P Kondor (2012). Fund managers, career concerns and asset price volatility. Am Econ Rev, 102, 1986-2017.
  35. 35. Menahem Yaari (1987). The Dual Theory of Choice under Risk. Econometrica, 55(1), 95.

Funding

No external funding was declared for this work.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Ethical Approval

No ethics committee approval was required for this article type.

Data Availability

Not applicable for this article.

How to Cite This Article

Liurui Deng, Lan Yang, Bolin Ma. 2019. "Dynamic Money Doctors under Cumulative Prospect Theory". Global Journal of Management and Business Research - C: Finance GJMBR-C Volume 19 (GJMBR Volume 19 Issue C5).

More Citation Formats

Download Citation

Journal Specifications

Crossref Journal DOI 10.17406/GJMBR

Print ISSN 0975-5853

e-ISSN 2249-4588

Keywords
Classification
GJMBR-C Classification JEL Code: F65
Version of record
v1.2

Issue date
August 20, 2019

Language
English
Order Article Reprint
Experience in AR

Explore published articles in an immersive Augmented Reality environment. Our platform converts research papers into interactive 3D books, allowing readers to view and interact with content using AR and VR compatible devices.

Read in 3D

Your published article is automatically converted into a realistic 3D book. Flip through pages and read research papers in a more engaging and interactive format.

Article Matrices
Total Views: 690
Total Downloads: 58
All Trends

Request Access

Please fill out the form below to request access to this research paper. Your request will be reviewed by the editorial or author team.
X

This is the heading

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit. Ut elit tellus, luctus nec ullamcorper mattis, pulvinar dapibus leo.

High-quality academic research articles on global topics and journals.

Dynamic Money Doctors under Cumulative Prospect Theory

Liurui Deng
Liurui Deng College of Mathematics, Physics and Information Engineering, Jiaxing University, China
Lan Yang
Lan Yang <p>College of Mathematics, Physics and Information Engineering, Jiaxing University, China</p>
Bolin Ma
Bolin Ma <p>College of Mathematics, Physics and Information Engineering, Jiaxing University, China</p>