Economic Impact of Public Expenditure in The Gambia

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Thomas Roberts
Thomas Roberts
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François J. Cabral
François J. Cabral
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Samuel Coly
Samuel Coly
α Cheikh Anta Diop University Cheikh Anta Diop University

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Economic Impact of Public Expenditure in The Gambia

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Abstract

The impact of public expenditure on the productive sectors (agriculture, industry, and service) in The Gambia, is analyzed within the framework of a Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (DCGE) model. The model is applied and calibrated to assess the impact of a 10% increase in public expenditure on economic growth and welfare over five years. The results indicate an increase in GDP and value-added, mainly as a result of growth in the service sector. Also, an expansion of the service sector leads to the migration of jobs to the rural areas, which will consequently enhance rural labour income. A significant finding is that general public expenditure on agriculture may not get the desired result for poverty reduction, specifically in rural areas. As a result, public agricultural spending should be targeted across various agriculture sub-sectors, such as, irrigation, among others. The Government of The Gambia (GoTG) should also prioritize investment in the service sector, given that it has immense potentials in enhancing the livelihoods of Gambians in rural areas.

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Funding

No external funding was declared for this work.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Ethical Approval

No ethics committee approval was required for this article type.

Data Availability

Not applicable for this article.

How to Cite This Article

Thomas Roberts. 2020. \u201cEconomic Impact of Public Expenditure in The Gambia\u201d. Global Journal of Management and Business Research - B: Economic & Commerce GJMBR-B Volume 20 (GJMBR Volume 20 Issue B6): .

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GJMBR Volume 20 Issue B6
Pg. 39- 53
Journal Specifications

Crossref Journal DOI 10.17406/GJMBR

Print ISSN 0975-5853

e-ISSN 2249-4588

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GJMBR-B Classification: JEL Code: O10
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v1.2

Issue date

May 30, 2020

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en
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The impact of public expenditure on the productive sectors (agriculture, industry, and service) in The Gambia, is analyzed within the framework of a Dynamic Computable General Equilibrium (DCGE) model. The model is applied and calibrated to assess the impact of a 10% increase in public expenditure on economic growth and welfare over five years. The results indicate an increase in GDP and value-added, mainly as a result of growth in the service sector. Also, an expansion of the service sector leads to the migration of jobs to the rural areas, which will consequently enhance rural labour income. A significant finding is that general public expenditure on agriculture may not get the desired result for poverty reduction, specifically in rural areas. As a result, public agricultural spending should be targeted across various agriculture sub-sectors, such as, irrigation, among others. The Government of The Gambia (GoTG) should also prioritize investment in the service sector, given that it has immense potentials in enhancing the livelihoods of Gambians in rural areas.

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Economic Impact of Public Expenditure in The Gambia

Thomas Roberts
Thomas Roberts Cheikh Anta Diop University
François J. Cabral
François J. Cabral
Samuel Coly
Samuel Coly

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