Effects of Macroeconomic Variables on the Stock Market Volatility: The Pakistan Experience

Waqar Khalid
Waqar Khalid
Saifullah Khan
Saifullah Khan

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Effects of Macroeconomic Variables on the Stock Market Volatility: The Pakistan Experience

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Abstract

This research paper empirically investigates the effects of interest rates, exchange rates and inflation rates on stock market performance of Pakistan by using annual time series data covering the 1991-2017 periods. The prime intention of this research was to inspect the long-run and short-run relationships between the KSE-100 index and macroeconomic variables by employing the econometric techniques of autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds testing procedure to cointegration and the Error Correction Model (ECM), respectively. By applying the ARDL model, the empirical results revealed the fact that there was a negative and significant impact of interest rate on the market index, whereas; the exchange rate and inflation rate have a positive impact on stock market volatility in the long-run.

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Funding

No external funding was declared for this work.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Ethical Approval

No ethics committee approval was required for this article type.

Data Availability

Not applicable for this article.

How to Cite This Article

Waqar Khalid. 2017. \u201cEffects of Macroeconomic Variables on the Stock Market Volatility: The Pakistan Experience\u201d. Global Journal of Management and Business Research - B: Economic & Commerce GJMBR-B Volume 17 (GJMBR Volume 17 Issue B4).

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Journal Specifications

Crossref Journal DOI 10.17406/GJMBR

Print ISSN 0975-5853

e-ISSN 2249-4588

Keywords
Classification
GJMBR-B Classification FOR Code: B22
Version of record

v1.2

Issue date
September 23, 2017

Language
en
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Effects of Macroeconomic Variables on the Stock Market Volatility: The Pakistan Experience

Waqar Khalid
Waqar Khalid
Saifullah Khan
Saifullah Khan

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