Environmental influences on Electricity Reliability in Uganda’s Grid System.

1
Adella Grace Migisha
Adella Grace Migisha
2
Joseph Ntayi
Joseph Ntayi
3
Faisal Buyinza
Faisal Buyinza
4
Muyiwa S Adaramola
Muyiwa S Adaramola
5
Livingstone Senyonga
Livingstone Senyonga

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This study investigated the environmental factors that influence the reliability of grid electricity at the generation subsystem, in Uganda. The systems reliability theory and the auto regressive distributed lag (ARDL) model were used to estimate the effects of hydrology levels of Lake Victoria and rainfall on both the frequency and duration of power outages on the Ugandan power grid network. Both the short and long run effects were estimated and the findings revealed that hydrology levels of Lake Victoria significantly affected grid electricity reliability in the generation subsystem of the Ugandan power grid network in both the short and long runs. On the other hand, rainfall significantly affected the generation grid electricity reliability in only the short run, implying that rainfall effects on grid electricity reliability on the generation subsystem, do not spill over onto the long run. The study recommends proper management of lake Victoria and other water resources so that reliability of grid electricity at the generation subsystem is not disrupted by the environmental factors under study.

Funding

No external funding was declared for this work.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Ethical Approval

No ethics committee approval was required for this article type.

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Not applicable for this article.

Adella Grace Migisha. 2026. \u201cEnvironmental influences on Electricity Reliability in Uganda’s Grid System.\u201d. Global Journal of Research in Engineering - G: Industrial Engineering GJRE-G Volume 23 (GJRE Volume 23 Issue G3): .

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Alt text: Environmental research on electricity reliability and grid system in Uganda.
Journal Specifications

Crossref Journal DOI 10.17406/gjre

Print ISSN 0975-5861

e-ISSN 2249-4596

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GJRE-G Classification: 0906
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v1.2

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January 10, 2024

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English

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This study investigated the environmental factors that influence the reliability of grid electricity at the generation subsystem, in Uganda. The systems reliability theory and the auto regressive distributed lag (ARDL) model were used to estimate the effects of hydrology levels of Lake Victoria and rainfall on both the frequency and duration of power outages on the Ugandan power grid network. Both the short and long run effects were estimated and the findings revealed that hydrology levels of Lake Victoria significantly affected grid electricity reliability in the generation subsystem of the Ugandan power grid network in both the short and long runs. On the other hand, rainfall significantly affected the generation grid electricity reliability in only the short run, implying that rainfall effects on grid electricity reliability on the generation subsystem, do not spill over onto the long run. The study recommends proper management of lake Victoria and other water resources so that reliability of grid electricity at the generation subsystem is not disrupted by the environmental factors under study.

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Environmental influences on Electricity Reliability in Uganda’s Grid System.

Adella Grace Migisha
Adella Grace Migisha
Joseph Ntayi
Joseph Ntayi
Faisal Buyinza
Faisal Buyinza
Muyiwa S Adaramola
Muyiwa S Adaramola
Livingstone Senyonga
Livingstone Senyonga

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