Evaluation of Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall Measures in Market Risk Management

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Mouallim Isam
Mouallim Isam

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GJMBR Volume 22 Issue C3

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This paper has object to examine the empirical performance of market risk measurement innew Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) regulation. Through an empirical study, we analyze the predictive performance of the Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) models by using backtesting procedures for 2007-2012 periods (US subprime Mortgage Crisis and European Sovereign Debt).The applied methodology includes analyzes, synthesis and statistical/econometric methods. The empirical results show a clear outperformance of Expected Shortfall (ES) measuresthanValue-at-Risk (VaR) measures.Another important result is the backtesting procedure recommended by Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) regulation penalizes the recommended market risk measurement.

Funding

No external funding was declared for this work.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Ethical Approval

No ethics committee approval was required for this article type.

Data Availability

Not applicable for this article.

Mouallim Isam. 2026. \u201cEvaluation of Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall Measures in Market Risk Management\u201d. Global Journal of Management and Business Research - C: Finance GJMBR-C Volume 22 (GJMBR Volume 22 Issue C3): .

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Risk management, market risk, financial research, shortfall measures, market risk assessment, global journal.
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Crossref Journal DOI 10.17406/GJMBR

Print ISSN 0975-5853

e-ISSN 2249-4588

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GJMBR-C Classification: DDC Code: 332.6453 LCC Code: HG6024.U6
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v1.2

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August 26, 2022

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English

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This paper has object to examine the empirical performance of market risk measurement innew Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) regulation. Through an empirical study, we analyze the predictive performance of the Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) models by using backtesting procedures for 2007-2012 periods (US subprime Mortgage Crisis and European Sovereign Debt).The applied methodology includes analyzes, synthesis and statistical/econometric methods. The empirical results show a clear outperformance of Expected Shortfall (ES) measuresthanValue-at-Risk (VaR) measures.Another important result is the backtesting procedure recommended by Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) regulation penalizes the recommended market risk measurement.

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Evaluation of Value-at-Risk and Expected Shortfall Measures in Market Risk Management

Mouallim Isam
Mouallim Isam

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