Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Performance in Nigeria: A Causal Post Structural Adjustment Programme Investigation

Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Performance in Nigeria: A Causal Post Structural Adjustment Programme Investigation

Tamunonimim A. Ngerebo-A

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Reginald C. Ibe

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Rivers State University

Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Performance in Nigeria: A Causal Post Structural Adjustment Programme Investigation

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Abstract

This paper investigates the causal relationship between exchange rate, balance of payment, external debt, external reserves, gross domestic product growth rate and inflation rate in Nigeria post Structural Adjustment Programme (SAP). Annual time series data 1987-2011 were used as the research sample period. The data were sourced from CBN Statistical Bulletin and Annual Reports of various years. We applied the ADF and PP unit root tests to check the stationarity of the variables. Gross domestic product growth rate and external reserve were stationary at both levels I (0) and I (1). The Johansen cointegration test, equation estimation and Granger causality tests were applied. Johansen cointegration result shows that there exists a long-run equilibrium relationship among the indicators. The Granger causality test between the dependent and independent variables shows a unidirectional causality from exchange rate to BOP, external reserves and gross domestic product growth rate. The independent variables indicate a unidirectional causality from gross domestic product growth rate to external reserve.

References

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Funding

No external funding was declared for this work.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Ethical Approval

No ethics committee approval was required for this article type.

Data Availability

Not applicable for this article.

How to Cite This Article

Tamunonimim A. Ngerebo-A. 2014. \u201cExchange Rate and Macroeconomic Performance in Nigeria: A Causal Post Structural Adjustment Programme Investigation\u201d. Global Journal of Management and Business Research - B: Economic & Commerce GJMBR-B Volume 13 (GJMBR Volume 13 Issue B7).

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GJMBR Volume 13 Issue B7

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Journal Specifications

Crossref Journal DOI 10.17406/GJMBR

Print ISSN 0975-5853

e-ISSN 2249-4588

Keywords

cointegration Exchange Rate macroeconomic indicators

Submission ReceivedDecember 13, 2012
Peer Review Double Blind
Handling Editor
Accepted January 4, 2013
Published January 15, 2013

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February 1, 2014

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Article Matrices

Total Score: 102

Country: Nigeria

Subject: Global Journal of Management and Business Research - B: Economic & Commerce

Authors: Tamunonimim A. Ngerebo-A, Reginald C. Ibe (PhD/Dr. count: 0)

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Total Views: 4766

Total Downloads: 2388

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