Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Performance in Nigeria: A Causal Post Structural Adjustment Programme Investigation

Tamunonimim A. Ngerebo-A

Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Performance in Nigeria: A Causal Post Structural Adjustment Programme Investigation

Tamunonimim A. Ngerebo-A * §

Contact

Rivers State University of Science and Technology

Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Performance in Nigeria: A Causal Post Structural Adjustment Programme Investigation

Article Fingerprint

ReserarchID

MBR82FE7

Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Performance in Nigeria: A Causal Post Structural Adjustment Programme Investigation Banner

Key Research Insights

Synthesized scholarly intelligence & interactive research assistant

Abstract

This paper investigates the causal relationship between exchange rate, balance of payment, external debt, external reserves, gross domestic product growth rate and inflation rate in Nigeria post Structural Adjustment Programme (SAP). Annual time series data 1987-2011 were used as the research sample period. The data were sourced from CBN Statistical Bulletin and Annual Reports of various years. We applied the ADF and PP unit root tests to check the stationarity of the variables. Gross domestic product growth rate and external reserve were stationary at both levels I (0) and I (1). The Johansen cointegration test, equation estimation and Granger causality tests were applied. Johansen cointegration result shows that there exists a long-run equilibrium relationship among the indicators. The Granger causality test between the dependent and independent variables shows a unidirectional causality from exchange rate to BOP, external reserves and gross domestic product growth rate. The independent variables indicate a unidirectional causality from gross domestic product growth rate to external reserve.

References

23 Cites in Article

Reference Format

C Alexander (2001). Market models: A guide to financial data analysis.
G Benita,B Lauterbach (2007). Policy factors and exchange rate volatility: Panel data versus a specific country analysis.
C Brooks (2008). Introductory Econometrics for Finance.
A Darat (1996). Rethinking development strategies: Some lessons from East Asian experience.
D Dickey,W Fuller (1979). Unknown Title.
David Dickey,Wayne Fuller (1979). Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root.
Robert Engle,C Granger (1987). Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing.
George Hondroyiannis,Evangelia Papapetrou (2001). Macroeconomic influences on the stock market.
Søren Johansen,Katarina Juselius (1990). MAXIMUM LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION AND INFERENCE ON COINTEGRATION — WITH APPLICATIONS TO THE DEMAND FOR MONEY.
A Jordaan,J Eita (2007). Export and Econ-omic Growth in Namibia: A Granger Causality Analysis.
D Marin (1992). Is the export-led Growth Hypothesis Valid for Industrialized Countries.
R Maysami,L Howe,M Hamza (2004). Relationship between Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Market Indices: Cointegration Evidence from Stock Exchange of Singapore's All-S Sector Indices.
M Mc Carville,E Nnadozie (1995). Causality Test of Export=Led Growth: The Case of Mexico.
C Mordi (2003). FOREIGN EXCHANGE RATE EXPECTATIONS: MICRO SURVEY DATA.
M Obadan (1993). Overview of Nigeria's Exchange Rate Policy and Management in the Structural Adjustment Programme.
M Obadan (1994). Monotonicity.
M Obadan (1995). Determinants of Real Exchange Rates in Nigeria: Some Preliminary Empirical Evidence.
E Ojameruaye (1991). An Application of the Purchasing Power Parity to the Determination of the Realistic Exchange Rate of the Nigerian Currency.
David Orden,Lance Fisher (1993). Financial Deregulation and the Dynamics of Money, Prices, and Output in New Zealand and Australia.
Joseph Nwanne,Edward Abah,Umma Baba (2003). PUBLIC DEBT AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN NIGERIA, 2015-2022.
P Phillips,P Perron (1988). Testing for a Unit Root in time series regression.
Xun Pomponio (1996). A causality analysis of growth and export performance.
C Soludo (1993). Theoretical Basis for the Structural Adjustment Programme in Nigeria: Two Alternative Critiques.

Download References

Funding

No external funding was declared for this work.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Ethical Approval

No ethics committee approval was required for this article type.

Data Availability

Not applicable for this article.

How to Cite This Article

Tamunonimim A. Ngerebo-A. 2014. "Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Performance in Nigeria: A Causal Post Structural Adjustment Programme Investigation". Global Journal of Management and Business Research - B: Economic & Commerce GJMBR-B Volume 13 (GJMBR Volume 13 Issue B7).

More Citation Formats

Select Citation Style:

Download Citation

GJMBR Volume 13 Issue B7

Explore Journals Explore Volume Read This Issue

Journal Specifications

Crossref Journal DOI 10.17406/GJMBR

Print ISSN 0975-5853

e-ISSN 2249-4588

Keywords

cointegration Exchange Rate macroeconomic indicators

Classification

GJMBR-B Classification JEL Code: B22

E00

Submission ReceivedDecember 13, 2012
Peer Review Double Blind
Handling Editor
Accepted January 4, 2013
Published January 15, 2013

Version of record

v1.2

Issue date

February 1, 2014

Language

English

Experiance in AR

Explore published articles in an immersive Augmented Reality environment. Our platform converts research papers into interactive 3D books, allowing readers to view and interact with content using AR and VR compatible devices.

View in VR

Read in 3D

Your published article is automatically converted into a realistic 3D book. Flip through pages and read research papers in a more engaging and interactive format.

View in 3D

Article Matrices

Total Score: 149

Country: Nigeria

Subject: Global Journal of Management and Business Research

Authors: Tamunonimim A. Ngerebo-A, Reginald C. Ibe (PhD/Dr. count: 0)

View Count (all-time): 342

Total Views (Real + Logic): 1186

Total Downloads (simulated): 78

Publish Date: 2013 01, Tue

Monthly Totals (Real + Logic):

Month 1: 25 views
Month 2: 56 views
Month 3: 28 views
Month 4: 57 views
Month 5: 35 views
Month 6: 40 views
Month 7: 34 views
Month 8: 46 views
Month 9: 39 views
Month 10: 50 views
Month 11: 30 views
Month 12: 19 views
Month 13: 16 views
Month 14: 31 views
Month 15: 33 views
Month 16: 45 views
Month 17: 39 views
Month 18: 39 views
Month 19: 28 views
Month 20: 41 views
Month 21: 23 views
Month 22: 16 views
Month 23: 27 views
Month 24: 37 views
Month 25: 32 views
Month 26: 36 views
Month 27: 23 views
Month 28: 32 views
Month 29: 41 views
Month 30: 18 views
Month 31: 40 views
Month 32: 17 views
Month 33: 25 views
Month 34: 17 views
Month 35: 30 views
Month 36: 20 views
Month 37: 17 views
Month 38: 16 views
Month 39: 20 views
Month 40: 28 views
Month 41: 19 views
Month 42: 33 views
Month 43: 45 views
Month 44: 26 views
Month 45: 42 views
Month 46: 15 views
Month 47: 28 views
Month 48: 22 views
Month 49: 25 views
Month 50: 38 views
Month 51: 27 views
Month 52: 25 views
Month 53: 27 views
Month 54: 29 views
Month 55: 25 views
Month 56: 30 views
Month 57: 28 views
Month 58: 23 views
Month 59: 30 views
Month 60: 41 views
Month 61: 39 views
Month 62: 35 views
Month 63: 34 views
Month 64: 42 views
Month 65: 43 views
Month 66: 32 views
Month 67: 40 views
Month 68: 31 views
Month 69: 33 views
Month 70: 33 views
Month 71: 45 views
Month 72: 20 views
Month 73: 32 views
Month 74: 35 views
Month 75: 40 views
Month 76: 25 views
Month 77: 31 views
Month 78: 19 views
Month 79: 25 views
Month 80: 41 views
Month 81: 35 views
Month 82: 43 views
Month 83: 15 views
Month 84: 38 views
Month 85: 22 views
Month 86: 42 views
Month 87: 15 views
Month 88: 28 views
Month 89: 41 views
Month 90: 38 views
Month 91: 33 views
Month 92: 33 views
Month 93: 20 views
Month 94: 24 views
Month 95: 42 views
Month 96: 21 views
Month 97: 33 views
Month 98: 29 views
Month 99: 21 views
Month 100: 25 views
Month 101: 22 views
Month 102: 15 views
Month 103: 36 views
Month 104: 28 views
Month 105: 22 views
Month 106: 38 views
Month 107: 17 views
Month 108: 31 views
Month 109: 16 views
Month 110: 25 views
Month 111: 29 views
Month 112: 19 views
Month 113: 31 views
Month 114: 27 views
Month 115: 27 views
Month 116: 19 views
Month 117: 34 views
Month 118: 29 views
Month 119: 39 views
Month 120: 16 views
Month 121: 45 views
Month 122: 43 views
Month 123: 46 views
Month 124: 13 views
Month 125: 44 views
Month 126: 49 views
Month 127: 40 views
Month 128: 28 views
Month 129: 29 views
Month 130: 17 views
Month 131: 45 views
Month 132: 27 views
Month 133: 43 views
Month 134: 46 views
Month 135: 44 views
Month 136: 30 views
Month 137: 27 views
Month 138: 34 views
Month 139: 31 views
Month 140: 40 views
Month 141: 37 views
Month 142: 60 views
Month 143: 14 views
Month 144: 23 views
Month 145: 32 views
Month 146: 50 views
Month 147: 43 views
Month 148: 59 views
Month 149: 40 views
Month 150: 32 views
Month 151: 32 views
Month 152: 19 views
Month 153: 36 views
Month 154: 12 views
Month 155: 37 views
Month 156: 41 views
Month 157: 31 views
Month 158: 20 views
Month 159: 40 views
Month 160: 42 views
Month 161: 37 views
Month 162: 39 views
Month 163: 48 views
Month 164: 34 views
Month 165: 41 views

Total Views: 1.2K

Total Downloads: 78

All Trends