Neural Networks and Rules-based Systems used to Find Rational and Scientific Correlations between being Here and Now with Afterlife Conditions
Neural Networks and Rules-based Systems used to Find Rational and
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Literature effect of exchange rate fluctuations is caused by some macro-economic variables but there have not enough study in this important field. Our purpose was to generalize the main factors behind exchange rate fluctuations of Bangladesh from 1987-2017. We used ADF and PP test for stationary analysis that is unit root test satisfied preconditions for Johansen co-integrating test. Correlation matrix shows the relationships of independent variables with dependent one and agreed with FMOLS test. We find no serial correlation in Q-statistics, LM and Heteroscedasticity test. Johansen co-integration test specifies that there are no co-integrating equations for long run relationship rather the relationship is short run. VAR model and Ganger causality test shows there is a significant effect of Remittance, GDP growth and International trade to Exchange rate fluctuations because R-squared values are more than 60%. Wald test supports the VAR model results by ensuring that there also joint effect of independent variables. Results from FMOLS test concluded that GDP growth and International trade positively affect exchange rate. Remittance has negative effect on exchange rate.
Tanvir Hasan Anik. 2019. \u201cFactors Influencing Exchange Rate: An Empirical Evidence from Bangladesh\u201d. Global Journal of Management and Business Research - C: Finance GJMBR-C Volume 19 (GJMBR Volume 19 Issue C6): .
Crossref Journal DOI 10.17406/GJMBR
Print ISSN 0975-5853
e-ISSN 2249-4588
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Total Score: 103
Country: Bangladesh
Subject: Global Journal of Management and Business Research - C: Finance
Authors: Md. Shohel Rana, Tanvir Hasan Anik, Md. Nurul Kabir Biplob (PhD/Dr. count: 0)
View Count (all-time): 138
Total Views (Real + Logic): 2571
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Publish Date: 2019 10, Thu
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Literature effect of exchange rate fluctuations is caused by some macro-economic variables but there have not enough study in this important field. Our purpose was to generalize the main factors behind exchange rate fluctuations of Bangladesh from 1987-2017. We used ADF and PP test for stationary analysis that is unit root test satisfied preconditions for Johansen co-integrating test. Correlation matrix shows the relationships of independent variables with dependent one and agreed with FMOLS test. We find no serial correlation in Q-statistics, LM and Heteroscedasticity test. Johansen co-integration test specifies that there are no co-integrating equations for long run relationship rather the relationship is short run. VAR model and Ganger causality test shows there is a significant effect of Remittance, GDP growth and International trade to Exchange rate fluctuations because R-squared values are more than 60%. Wald test supports the VAR model results by ensuring that there also joint effect of independent variables. Results from FMOLS test concluded that GDP growth and International trade positively affect exchange rate. Remittance has negative effect on exchange rate.
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