Feasibility of the Proposed Monetary Union in East African Community: Generalized Method of Moments Approach

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Sudi Amani Mwasinago
Sudi Amani Mwasinago
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Richard Kiplangat Siele
Richard Kiplangat Siele

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Feasibility of the Proposed Monetary Union in East African Community: Generalized  Method of Moments Approach

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Abstract

This study examined the suitability of Theory of Optimum Currency as a basis for feasibility of proposed monetary union in East African Community (EAC) countries; Uganda, Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda and Tanzania. The study sought to determine symmetry of; monetary shocks; inflation rates; fiscal deficit, public debt, real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and degree of openness. Exploratory was used employing panel data covering 2000Q1-2016Q4. Generalized Method of Moments approach was utilized. Results showed convergence in the real exchange rate was statistically significant and negative implying formation of a monetary union reduced combined GDP. Policy makers in EAC countries could concentrate in adapting unfulfilled macroeconomic convergence criteria and strengthening cooperation in monetary policy co-ordinations.

References

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Funding

No external funding was declared for this work.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Ethical Approval

No ethics committee approval was required for this article type.

Data Availability

Not applicable for this article.

How to Cite This Article

Sudi Amani Mwasinago. 2018. \u201cFeasibility of the Proposed Monetary Union in East African Community: Generalized Method of Moments Approach\u201d. Global Journal of Human-Social Science - E: Economics GJHSS-E Volume 18 (GJHSS Volume 18 Issue E5): .

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Issue Cover
GJHSS Volume 18 Issue E5
Pg. 19- 27
Journal Specifications

Crossref Journal DOI 10.17406/GJHSS

Print ISSN 0975-587X

e-ISSN 2249-460X

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GJHSS-E Classification: FOR Code: 140299
Version of record

v1.2

Issue date

June 30, 2018

Language
en
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This study examined the suitability of Theory of Optimum Currency as a basis for feasibility of proposed monetary union in East African Community (EAC) countries; Uganda, Burundi, Kenya, Rwanda and Tanzania. The study sought to determine symmetry of; monetary shocks; inflation rates; fiscal deficit, public debt, real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and degree of openness. Exploratory was used employing panel data covering 2000Q1-2016Q4. Generalized Method of Moments approach was utilized. Results showed convergence in the real exchange rate was statistically significant and negative implying formation of a monetary union reduced combined GDP. Policy makers in EAC countries could concentrate in adapting unfulfilled macroeconomic convergence criteria and strengthening cooperation in monetary policy co-ordinations.

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Feasibility of the Proposed Monetary Union in East African Community: Generalized Method of Moments Approach

Richard Kiplangat Siele
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