Regression Analysis for Predicting Wood Pulp Demand by PSO Optimization

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V.Anandhi
V.Anandhi
2
Dr. R. Manicka Chezian
Dr. R. Manicka Chezian
1 Tamil Nadu Agricultural University

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In today’s world, consumption of paper and paperbased products is increasing in all the fields. Wood pulp which is extracted from the wood chips is the most commonly used raw material to manufacture the papers. Demand and supply of the wood pulp determines the socialeconomical development of a country. Many forecasting methods are used to predict the future demands of the wood pulp so that the supply chain management can be planned. In this paper, support vector regression analysis methods are used to predict the demands of wood pulp and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm is proposed to optimize the parameters of kernel functions. Regression models were created by using the data collected from TNPL. The parameters such as Mean Magnitude Relative Error (MMRE) and Median Magnitude Relative Error (MdMRE) are used for evaluating the results. Evaluated result shows that proposed SVM regression with PSO approach gave improved accuracy with significant decrease in MMRE and MdMRE.

9 Cites in Articles

References

  1. (1999). Energy-Efficiency Improvement Opportunities for the Textile Industry.
  2. Sandeep Kumar,Kujur (1980). Globalisation, Energy efficiency and Material Consumption in a Resource based Industry: A Case of India's Pulp and Paper Industry.
  3. K T Parthiban,Govinda Rao,M (2008). Pulp wood based Industrial Agro forestry in Tamil Nadu -Case Study.
  4. (1988). Statement on National Health Policy: Ministry of Health and Family Welfare, Government of India, New Delhi, 1982.
  5. Kenett Ruggeri,Faltin (2008). Classification and Regression Tree Methods.
  6. K Soman,R Loganathan,V Ajay (2000). Support Vector Machines.
  7. H Drucker,C Burges,L Kaufman,A Smola,V Vapnik (1997). Support vector regression machines.
  8. N Belavendram (2010). Application of Genetic Algorithms for Robust Parameter Optimization.
  9. V Anandhi,R Manicka Chezian (2012). Forecast of Demand and Supply of Pulpwood using Artificial Neural Network.

Funding

No external funding was declared for this work.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Ethical Approval

No ethics committee approval was required for this article type.

Data Availability

Not applicable for this article.

V.Anandhi. 2013. \u201cRegression Analysis for Predicting Wood Pulp Demand by PSO Optimization\u201d. Global Journal of Science Frontier Research - H: Environment & Environmental geology GJSFR-H Volume 13 (GJSFR Volume 13 Issue H3): .

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Crossref Journal DOI 10.17406/GJSFR

Print ISSN 0975-5896

e-ISSN 2249-4626

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September 18, 2013

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English

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In today’s world, consumption of paper and paperbased products is increasing in all the fields. Wood pulp which is extracted from the wood chips is the most commonly used raw material to manufacture the papers. Demand and supply of the wood pulp determines the socialeconomical development of a country. Many forecasting methods are used to predict the future demands of the wood pulp so that the supply chain management can be planned. In this paper, support vector regression analysis methods are used to predict the demands of wood pulp and Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) algorithm is proposed to optimize the parameters of kernel functions. Regression models were created by using the data collected from TNPL. The parameters such as Mean Magnitude Relative Error (MMRE) and Median Magnitude Relative Error (MdMRE) are used for evaluating the results. Evaluated result shows that proposed SVM regression with PSO approach gave improved accuracy with significant decrease in MMRE and MdMRE.

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Regression Analysis for Predicting Wood Pulp Demand by PSO Optimization

V.Anandhi
V.Anandhi Tamil Nadu Agricultural University
Dr. R. Manicka Chezian
Dr. R. Manicka Chezian

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