Testing the Inter-Temporal Relationship between Government Spending and Revenue: Evidence from Sri Lanka

1
Navoda Edirisinghe
Navoda Edirisinghe
2
Selliah Sivarajasingham
Selliah Sivarajasingham
1 University of Peradeniya

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Testing the Inter-Temporal Relationship between Government Spending and Revenue: Evidence from Sri Lanka Banner
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In order to achieve and sustain fiscal discipline, a proper understanding about the budgetary movements and causal relationship between government revenue and government expenditure have become a vital requirement. Therefore, this paper examines the causal relationship between government expenditure and government revenue in Sri Lanka for the period of 1960-2013. In the process of achieving the main objective, the study uses annual data of government revenue, government expenditure and GDP deflator, and utilizes cointegration and error correction modeling framework, and Granger causality tests. In addition, it presents impulse responses to shed light on the dynamic relation of revenue to a expenditure shock. The results confirm spending-revenue hypothesis both in short run and long run. Considering the above empirical findings the study suggests that, in order to achieve and sustain fiscal discipline, Sri Lankan government should adopt selective expenditure framework.

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Funding

No external funding was declared for this work.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Ethical Approval

No ethics committee approval was required for this article type.

Data Availability

Not applicable for this article.

Navoda Edirisinghe. 2015. \u201cTesting the Inter-Temporal Relationship between Government Spending and Revenue: Evidence from Sri Lanka\u201d. Global Journal of Human-Social Science - E: Economics GJHSS-E Volume 15 (GJHSS Volume 15 Issue E7): .

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Crossref Journal DOI 10.17406/GJHSS

Print ISSN 0975-587X

e-ISSN 2249-460X

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September 11, 2015

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In order to achieve and sustain fiscal discipline, a proper understanding about the budgetary movements and causal relationship between government revenue and government expenditure have become a vital requirement. Therefore, this paper examines the causal relationship between government expenditure and government revenue in Sri Lanka for the period of 1960-2013. In the process of achieving the main objective, the study uses annual data of government revenue, government expenditure and GDP deflator, and utilizes cointegration and error correction modeling framework, and Granger causality tests. In addition, it presents impulse responses to shed light on the dynamic relation of revenue to a expenditure shock. The results confirm spending-revenue hypothesis both in short run and long run. Considering the above empirical findings the study suggests that, in order to achieve and sustain fiscal discipline, Sri Lankan government should adopt selective expenditure framework.

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Testing the Inter-Temporal Relationship between Government Spending and Revenue: Evidence from Sri Lanka

Navoda Edirisinghe
Navoda Edirisinghe University of Peradeniya
Selliah Sivarajasingham
Selliah Sivarajasingham

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