The Effects of some Major Macroeconomic Variables on Unemployment Rate in Nigeria: A Bounds Test Approach

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Agbolade Olumuyiwa
Agbolade Olumuyiwa
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Are S.O.
Are S.O.
α Federal Polytechnic, Bauchi

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The Effects of some Major Macroeconomic Variables on Unemployment Rate in Nigeria: A Bounds Test Approach

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Abstract

Nigeria has been experiencing a high unemployment rate over the years. The main objective of this paper is to investigate the effects of some macroeconomic variables such as; Gross Domestic Product, Treasury bill, and Inflation rate on unemployment rate in Nigeria over the period 2006Q1-2018Q4. The long-run and short-run impacts of the variables were analyzed using the bound testing co-integration. The result shows there is a long-run relationship among the variables. The dynamic error correction was carried out, and the long-run and short-run coefficients were extracted using the ARDL model. The result shows that the Gross Domestic Product has a positive significance on unemployment in the long run. However, in the short-run, only GDP contribute significantly to the unemployment rate. The Granger non-causality shows that Treasury bills do not cause Gross Domestic Product. There is unilateral causality from Treasury bill to the unemployment rate and inflation rate.

References

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Funding

No external funding was declared for this work.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Ethical Approval

No ethics committee approval was required for this article type.

Data Availability

Not applicable for this article.

How to Cite This Article

Agbolade Olumuyiwa. 2019. \u201cThe Effects of some Major Macroeconomic Variables on Unemployment Rate in Nigeria: A Bounds Test Approach\u201d. Global Journal of Human-Social Science - E: Economics GJHSS-E Volume 19 (GJHSS Volume 19 Issue E9): .

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Issue Cover
GJHSS Volume 19 Issue E9
Pg. 33- 41
Journal Specifications

Crossref Journal DOI 10.17406/GJHSS

Print ISSN 0975-587X

e-ISSN 2249-460X

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GJHSS-E Classification: FOR Code: 910199
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v1.2

Issue date

December 20, 2019

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en
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Nigeria has been experiencing a high unemployment rate over the years. The main objective of this paper is to investigate the effects of some macroeconomic variables such as; Gross Domestic Product, Treasury bill, and Inflation rate on unemployment rate in Nigeria over the period 2006Q1-2018Q4. The long-run and short-run impacts of the variables were analyzed using the bound testing co-integration. The result shows there is a long-run relationship among the variables. The dynamic error correction was carried out, and the long-run and short-run coefficients were extracted using the ARDL model. The result shows that the Gross Domestic Product has a positive significance on unemployment in the long run. However, in the short-run, only GDP contribute significantly to the unemployment rate. The Granger non-causality shows that Treasury bills do not cause Gross Domestic Product. There is unilateral causality from Treasury bill to the unemployment rate and inflation rate.

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The Effects of some Major Macroeconomic Variables on Unemployment Rate in Nigeria: A Bounds Test Approach

Agbolade Olumuyiwa
Agbolade Olumuyiwa Federal Polytechnic, Bauchi
Are S.O.
Are S.O.

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