Improvement of Forecasting Method of Recession Characteristics of River Flow Rate into a Dam by using Estimation of Steady State

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Tomonari Kawai
Tomonari Kawai
σ
Katsuhiro Ichiyanagi
Katsuhiro Ichiyanagi
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Takuo Koyasu
Takuo Koyasu
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Kazuto Yukita
Kazuto Yukita
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Yasuyuki Goto
Yasuyuki Goto

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Improvement of Forecasting Method of Recession Characteristics of River Flow Rate into a Dam by using Estimation of Steady State

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Abstract

This paper describes an application of neural networks for forecasting the flow rate upper district of dams for hydropower plants. The forecasting of recession characteristics of the river flow after rainfalls is important with respect to system operation and dam management. We present a method for improving the precision of forecasting flow rate upper district of dams by utilizing steady-state estimation and recession time constant of the river flow. A case study was carried out on the upper district of the Yahagi River in Central Japan. It is found from our investigations that the forecasting accuracy is improved to 18.6% from 25.8% with a forecasted error of the total amount of river flow by using steady-state estimation.

References

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Funding

No external funding was declared for this work.

Conflict of Interest

The authors declare no conflict of interest.

Ethical Approval

No ethics committee approval was required for this article type.

Data Availability

Not applicable for this article.

How to Cite This Article

Tomonari Kawai. 2020. \u201cImprovement of Forecasting Method of Recession Characteristics of River Flow Rate into a Dam by using Estimation of Steady State\u201d. Global Journal of Research in Engineering - F: Electrical & Electronic GJRE-F Volume 20 (GJRE Volume 20 Issue F4): .

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Journal Specifications

Crossref Journal DOI 10.17406/gjre

Print ISSN 0975-5861

e-ISSN 2249-4596

Keywords
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GJRE-F Classification: FOR Code: 090699
Version of record

v1.2

Issue date

October 19, 2020

Language
en
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This paper describes an application of neural networks for forecasting the flow rate upper district of dams for hydropower plants. The forecasting of recession characteristics of the river flow after rainfalls is important with respect to system operation and dam management. We present a method for improving the precision of forecasting flow rate upper district of dams by utilizing steady-state estimation and recession time constant of the river flow. A case study was carried out on the upper district of the Yahagi River in Central Japan. It is found from our investigations that the forecasting accuracy is improved to 18.6% from 25.8% with a forecasted error of the total amount of river flow by using steady-state estimation.

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Improvement of Forecasting Method of Recession Characteristics of River Flow Rate into a Dam by using Estimation of Steady State

Tomonari Kawai
Tomonari Kawai
Katsuhiro Ichiyanagi
Katsuhiro Ichiyanagi
Takuo Koyasu
Takuo Koyasu
Kazuto Yukita
Kazuto Yukita
Yasuyuki Goto
Yasuyuki Goto

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