Monetary Policy and Inflation Dynamics in Ethiopia: An Empirical Analysis

Minyahil Alemu, Wondaferahu Mulugeta, Yilkal Wassie

Volume 16 Issue 4

Global Journal of Human-Social Science

While inflationary sources have been linked with various issues, its attachment to money supply had especial consideration in inflation theories. The Classical version of Quantity Theory holds for inflation as being ‘always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon’. On the other side, Keynes’s version departed by claiming neutrality of money in an economy where idle capacity exists. Motivated basically by these theoretical departures on the link between the two variables, and the limited availability of literatures particularly in the spirit of the subject it is concerned with, the present study aimed to empirically examine the share of money supply in explaining the dynamics of inflation in Ethiopia, using Error Correction Model by employing the time series data set for the period ranging from 1974/75 to 2014/15. Theohnson’s Maximum likelihood approach for cointegration has indicated the existence of long run relationships amongst variables entered the inflation model.